TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa1b0…fd60

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NFL, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3450%17 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rashid Shaheed: Receiving Yards O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+100%+$17.5
Kenneth Walker III: Rushing Yards O/U 80.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+156.4%+$21.35
Rhamondre Stevenson: Rushing Yards O/U 56.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.65
Hunter Henry: Receiving Yards O/U 37.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.75
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+65%+$25.37
Will Seattle beat New England in Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25.6
Will New England beat Seattle in Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12.29
Big Game: First Timeout?backed NE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
Patriots Team Total: O/U 16.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.54
Patriots Team Total: O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Seahawks Team Total: O/U 25.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+100%+$12.5
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$16.18
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+33.3%+$7.5
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$76.8
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$16.21
Will Denver face Seattle in Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.75
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 30.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$39.25
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+58.7%+$27.95
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$57.05
Will the Chicago Bears be eliminated in the Divisional Round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+56.3%+$9
Rams vs. Bears: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+72.4%+$39.61
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10.85
Texans vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+108.3%+$13
James Cook: Rushing Yards O/U 76.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+88.7%+$16.45
49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+90.3%+$27.08
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$39.47
OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$71.23
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.8
Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.11
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$19.25
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.7
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$16.8
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.35
Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.95
James Harden: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.1
Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$23.45
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.75
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.34
OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 1.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
James Harden: Points O/U 19.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.15
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$12.3
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$17.15
All 23 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-49.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bueno Silva vs. Cavalcantibacked Cavalcanti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+51.5%+$8.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump say "Nuclear" during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$10.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.