NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa40d33b7d135539334b74300f921abceb900a834c90d4c0c6ea756917983254b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 36c | 5,511$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 0c | 4,868$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.98 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e4…6f6bbacked Over | 35c | 1,590$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.49 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…6ba5backed Under | 53c | 1,280$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.58 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9c…ab80backed Under | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.3 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8983…d301backed Over | 34c | 846.3$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.68 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over | 33c | 840.58$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.39 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda2e…8904backed Under | 65c | 533.85$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.85 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 65c | 443.97$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.39 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 14c | 437.66$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.89 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 65c | 412.2$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.27 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 64c | 405.5$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.98 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 42c | 377.35$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.21 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa712…982cbacked Under | 58c | 356$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.21 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 34c | 320.17$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.53 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Under | 60c | 310.08$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.03 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcebf…832ebacked Under | 67c | 299.98$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.99 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Under | 45c | 264.98$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.74 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 31c | 204.73$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.47 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc71…2c40backed Under | 57c | 204.3$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.85 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +85%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Over | 35c | 201.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Over | 34c | 195.51$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…f13cbacked Under | 70c | 195.14$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.21 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…a86fbacked Over | 55c | 182.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 26c | 160$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbc…3122backed Under | 65c | 153.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.87 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…eadfbacked Over | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Over | 30c | 146.47$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 69c | 144.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Over | 31c | 138.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Over | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ba…cf3fbacked Under | 67c | 119.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed Over | 34c | 116.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 31c | 95.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 66c | 94.89$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1e…8107backed Over | 32c | 94.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 31c | 88.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Over | 31c | 88.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Over | 31c | 88.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…270abacked Over | 31c | 88.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6e…c234backed Over | 37c | 80.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 30c | 79.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e8…1c01backed Under | 67c | 76.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Over | 53c | 75.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 440 | 52.5%231 W · 209 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee2d…ba67backed Under | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…ca37backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 68c | 59.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…0675backed Over | 36c | 56.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 49c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc6…095fbacked Under | 68c | 51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…ed48backed Under | 68c | 49.12$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…fd60backed Under | 73c | 46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e1…d4d9backed Under | 68c | 44.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.4wins | +0.37per pick | 55cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…e166backed Under | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 76c | 42.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 168 | 67.3%113 W · 55 L | +13.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…668dbacked Under | 75c | 38.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…d843backed Over | 54c | 37.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Over | 30c | 35.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 43c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…9f64backed Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Over | 41c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcebe…0720backed Under | 49c | 25.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81ec…4ddbbacked Under | 60c | 23.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6128…b3e7backed Under | 67c | 22.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 54cpaid | +57%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1e…f51cbacked Under | 48c | 21.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 66c | 20.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Under | 65c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Dean Wade: Points O/U 0.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 19.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Knicks (-17.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.