TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$137,712
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$138,884

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,712 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf689…9d83backed Knicks42c23,810$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,809.521747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers57c23,409$13,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,258.6469848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks44c16,974$7,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,489.7464948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers58c13,013$7,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,537.066,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f17…b55dbacked Knicks0c11,776$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,764.333100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+33,328.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Knicks41c10,160$4,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,992.9814842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Knicks6c6,662$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,262.059349.5%46 W · 47 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers58c5,015$2,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,901.164,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa66d…6daabacked Cavaliers66c4,527$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a15…dbacbacked Cavaliers59c4,005$2,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,363.13560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Cavaliers60c3,063$1,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,837.9315850.6%80 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks38c2,550$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.788,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks30c2,546$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,770.2142842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Cavaliers58c2,500$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4508451.2%43 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Knicks42c2,440$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.4455251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks32c2,311$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,563.753842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Knicks9c2,088$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,892.2119548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Knicks7c1,777$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,658.5945445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Knicks51c1,746$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.771,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Cavaliers58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00021450%107 W · 107 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks43c1,711$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.2366352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks31c1,622$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.991,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cavaliers57c1,600$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.51,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Cavaliers49c1,592$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78028838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x57f9…bcd9backed Cavaliers58c1,379$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8004841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Knicks7c1,356$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.361,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f3…4bcebacked Cavaliers60c1,262$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.962326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Cavaliers58c1,158$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.3732045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09f1…8332backed Knicks45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.114269%29 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed Cavaliers72c991.42$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.089060%54 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Cavaliers57c985.73$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.9262051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Cavaliers58c962.32$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.142,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1183…a6cbbacked Cavaliers61c949.99$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.49425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Knicks40c933$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.9725840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Cavaliers58c913$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.5456843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Knicks14c851$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.731,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Knicks36c846.55$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.4534255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Cavaliers58c815.97$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.2629554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Knicks44c690$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.418643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Cavaliers59c678.1$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40016555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cavaliers67c675.91$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.862,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Cavaliers66c601.77$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40027745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Cavaliers51c573.92$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.682,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Cavaliers57c526.31$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.2417247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Knicks46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2705937.3%22 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Knicks42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.191457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+63.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x82a1…ed3dbacked Knicks50c450$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2252347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Knicks34c431$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.1852052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks39c430.29$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.8152150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Cavaliers58c413.79$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24011743.6%51 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers62c404$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.92,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Knicks42c380.13$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.483740.5%15 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f56…a330backed Cavaliers64c361.68$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2303844.7%17 W · 21 L-5.8wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-28%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x007b…adc6backed Cavaliers58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014727.9%41 W · 106 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Cavaliers59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Cavaliers59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20053539.6%212 W · 323 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Knicks27c328.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.6678639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Cavaliers54c306$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.241,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Cavaliers67c298.48$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9846959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Cavaliers59c259.98$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.3915759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Knicks26c246$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.980440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7353…4b0dbacked Cavaliers56c237.5$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1335453.7%29 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61b…9d74backed Cavaliers52c227.85$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.331040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Cavaliers49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038432.6%125 W · 259 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70f7…d7debacked Cavaliers15c203.14$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked Knicks21c200$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1587237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked Knicks26c193.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.135332.1%17 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked Knicks28c183.21$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.776334.9%22 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Cavaliers56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017944.1%79 W · 100 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Knicks35c172.28$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.776653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Knicks41c170.73$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7315246.7%71 W · 81 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03e5…dd0fbacked Cavaliers59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006622.7%15 W · 51 L-8.4wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-48.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked Knicks25c158.4$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.37133.8%24 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Knicks34c154$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.3631238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed Knicks21c150$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.54526.7%12 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Knicks21c150$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.540440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Cavaliers69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10056154.5%306 W · 255 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Cavaliers69c144.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.536038.3%23 W · 37 L-9.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Knicks34c138.42$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.4245445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64de…25a1backed Cavaliers63c136.24$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.251643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Knicks40c133$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.819756.3%111 W · 86 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Knicks30c131.68$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.5324936.9%92 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Cavaliers67c130.53$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4652861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b11…0e49backed Knicks42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.053063.3%19 W · 11 L+6.0wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+45.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Knicks34c117.81$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9130842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Knicks43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.287342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb74f…d843backed Cavaliers49c101.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506250%31 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Knicks42c100.1$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0660049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Cavaliers50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023246.1%107 W · 125 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Knicks21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7917748%85 W · 92 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Knicks41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5910954.1%59 W · 50 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…1f6fbacked Cavaliers59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Knicks30c95.64$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3727138.7%105 W · 166 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf7d…0a9ebacked Knicks42c95.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.24666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf060…fc59backed Cavaliers59c93.76$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5513539.3%53 W · 82 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5345…666abacked Knicks45c91.91$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.556942%29 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4178…defabacked Cavaliers76c78.95$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86df…2cacbacked Knicks43c72.09$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.09955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Cavaliers59c71$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.134850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Knicks44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1840548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.