NBA · resolved market
1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e8d9bc0a754cca0809ac261c0efc878e8da814c6bb713cc6a9a4a37605bdb20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Knicks, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 24,795$12,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,149.65 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Knicks | 49c | 20,408$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Cavaliers | 50c | 6,568$3,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,283.78 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Knicks | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.99 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…3de2backed Knicks | 49c | 3,513$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Knicks | 49c | 3,163$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Knicks | 49c | 3,046$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.82 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Knicks | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8590…07adbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 1,700$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 1,686$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.84 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,595$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.5 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,400$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Knicks | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4852…67c4backed Knicks | 50c | 1,220$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed Knicks | 49c | 902.51$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.23 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.8 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Cavaliers | 50c | 658.82$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.66 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked Knicks | 51c | 507.45$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Cavaliers | 51c | 505.99$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.93 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed Knicks | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Cavaliers | 51c | 305.53$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.71 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Cavaliers | 51c | 235.8$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.45 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Cavaliers | 52c | 228.83$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.84 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed Knicks | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -7.4wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Knicks | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 42.9%57 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x743c…db89backed Knicks | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…884abacked Knicks | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 258 | 50%129 W · 129 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd26e…cc2ebacked Knicks | 51c | 190.06$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.93 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed Knicks | 49c | 183.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Knicks | 49c | 167.2$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.02 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb75a…67c4backed Knicks | 63c | 127.47$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cavaliers | 53c | 111.69$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Knicks | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Knicks | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 348 | 49.7%173 W · 175 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8d…d696backed Knicks | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed Knicks | 50c | 80.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 80.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.23 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…e8d5backed Knicks | 50c | 60.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Knicks | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x123e…eed4backed Knicks | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Cavaliers | 23c | 53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Cavaliers | 51c | 49.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks | 48c | 49.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc5…d49fbacked Knicks | 48c | 49.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Knicks | 50c | 40.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e66…0fa6backed Cavaliers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a1…7c9dbacked Knicks | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 137 | 64.2%88 W · 49 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fb…1c90backed Cavaliers | 51c | 38.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Knicks | 49c | 31.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +11.0wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…ac46backed Cavaliers | 51c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -5.5wins | -0.32per pick | 50cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Knicks | 50c | 30.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf30…930fbacked Knicks | 49c | 30.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Knicks | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1641…a37fbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 28.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…e6d8backed Cavaliers | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers | 49c | 26.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Knicks | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 317 | 48.9%155 W · 162 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe36…5ceabacked Cavaliers | 51c | 24.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef6…9b93backed Cavaliers | 51c | 20.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab4…b569backed Knicks | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Dean Wade: Points O/U 0.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 19.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Knicks (-17.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.