TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,885
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,767

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,885 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x98bd…8a55backed Yes66c1,208$798 inWon+$409.624560%27 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No35c1,199$420 inLost-$420.3142842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes65c465.25$301 inWon+$164.2530055.7%167 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Yes75c400.11$300 inWon+$99.6320558.5%120 W · 85 L+19.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x13a9…e573backed No37c399.98$148 inLost-$147.9912347.2%58 W · 65 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Yes65c361.31$234 inWon+$127.3925657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Yes65c307.69$200 inWon+$107.694360.5%26 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed No8c249.99$20 inLost-$2080440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed No35c220$77 inLost-$7743752.6%230 W · 207 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No34c180.21$62 inLost-$61.981,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6d9…04eebacked Yes61c162.76$100 inWon+$62.762245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No35c118.95$42 inLost-$41.5953842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No37c80$30 inLost-$29.611852.5%62 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed No34c68.64$23 inLost-$23.3419352.8%102 W · 91 L+11.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fd6…ce58backed Yes30c66.74$20 inWon+$46.74475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+127.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No35c49.99$17 inLost-$17.512642.9%54 W · 72 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No48c46$22 inLost-$2233556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2606…b542backed Yes61c32.79$20 inWon+$12.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Yes65c31$20 inWon+$10.9826755.1%147 W · 120 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff26…de84backed Yes65c23.08$15 inWon+$8.081957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Yes66c22.73$15 inWon+$7.7337352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x118a…457ebacked Yes64c21.08$13 inWon+$7.63933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-39.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.