TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$147,524
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$149,785

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,524 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Over53c30,559$16,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,324.0464948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under46c24,842$11,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,466.8769848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over54c11,111$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,111.065848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under47c6,384$2,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,987.3555251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under46c4,559$2,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,109.5532045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under47c3,637$1,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,725.623742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under48c3,300$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,574.5643438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under48c3,294$1,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,571.9865939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over54c3,192$1,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,482.674,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38010248%49 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Under47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.998451.2%43 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.9865045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c2,800$1,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3091,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under46c2,620$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.3862051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under48c2,600$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24886641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under46c2,530$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.022,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Under48c2,292$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1004042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcc4…a439backed Over51c2,100$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02919547.2%92 W · 103 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over28c2,025$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.6536243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Over53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94012741.7%53 W · 74 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c1,899$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.554,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Under46c1,675$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.445657.1%32 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over54c1,588$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.516,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under46c1,507$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.8349249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under46c1,501$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.4656843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over53c1,340$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.5884443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24bc…1b77backed Over53c1,289$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.73771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under46c1,200$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55560049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over26c1,151$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.988,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4490…fe8bbacked Over53c1,109$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.073450%17 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over19c1,071$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.141,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Over54c1,028$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.7821957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Over20c1,008$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.4819954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46025651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48073051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over4c1,000$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9602,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under46c992$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.321,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under80c792.4$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.9252150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over56c761.93$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.4876653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Under47c727.33$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.8514148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a54…7c49backed Over53c688.19$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.334465.9%29 W · 15 L+8.9wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+55.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Over51c662.3$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.5382442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Under46c600.83$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.717247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fe…be09backed Over52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2881861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under46c582.5$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.951,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over52c545.29$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.7418650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Under56c523.55$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.196544.6%29 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4c9…8803backed Over17c499.99$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.993265.6%21 W · 11 L+8.2wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+109.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over53c489.28$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.6966352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over4c485$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.9531222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over54c462.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.9639552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bcc…13c3backed Over50c456.64$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.265151%26 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under66c453.36$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under46c450.09$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.871,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under46c440.34$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.351,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Under12c433.98$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.824936.9%92 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe49…7a4cbacked Over52c420.51$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.721457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Over54c398.15$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.156659.1%39 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b01…dee1backed Over52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.629454.3%51 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3625360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Over54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3727745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf665…8298backed Under50c370$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcad3…377fbacked Over51c369.9$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.251145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Over54c359.2$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.238851.1%45 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over28c356.7$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.6618850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed Over54c342.59$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.599558.9%56 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Under44c340$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.64734%16 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Over32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.556154.5%306 W · 255 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14468944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Over52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14425559.2%151 W · 104 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba3…c891backed Over54c292.41$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.51875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e90…a79ebacked Over54c291.37$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.033174.2%23 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b5f…1ae6backed Over15c286.67$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.6719531.3%61 W · 134 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadbc…8af3backed Over52c280$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.41241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under47c261$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.6710941.3%45 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed Under50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Over56c230.37$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.223756.8%21 W · 16 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over25c215$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.1919548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4668…3b66backed Under48c207.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fac…b89abacked Under47c204.86$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.195550.9%28 W · 27 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+36.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x488e…ea2ebacked Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Under60c200$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.230641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under44c199$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1380440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over51c198.04$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0424159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0af5…154cbacked Over54c189.98$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.393164.5%20 W · 11 L+5.3wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+27.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.687643.4%33 W · 43 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over53c188.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.0662144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8213248.5%64 W · 68 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cbb…5503backed Under47c170.44$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809653.1%51 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x268c…19aabacked Under59c164.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.29666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc348…9f08backed Over51c156.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.862356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb547…ba49backed Over53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.56100%6 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfa4e…eadfbacked Over23c143.83$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.835337.7%20 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Over54c140.72$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7316261.7%100 W · 62 L+15.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd741…63e0backed Over54c134.06$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.67785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.41per pick45cpaid+147.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeb19…60e6backed Over54c125.93$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.932250%11 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under49c116$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2578639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1804…1346backed Over53c112.23$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.75966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+30.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over54c107.65$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5215759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Under47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5047948.6%233 W · 246 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.