TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0a54…7c49

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
138
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.13 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 64 out of 100; worst MLB at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT4930.6%15 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$5,248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,248.5
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.88
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$603Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$603.3
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$221.69
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+106.3%+$232.3
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$174.86
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$788Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$388.3
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$197
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$775Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$774.91
Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$263
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+300%+$90
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$686Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$686.36
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$357.59
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$9,851Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,850.78
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,029Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,028.88
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$1,824.37
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$376
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$515.38
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$486.59
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.66
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT4465.9%29 W · 15 L+8.9wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+55.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
NBA — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$795Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$794.71
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$885.35
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$243
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$327.42
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$492.05
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$232
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+94.7%+$463.83
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$696Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$592.63
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.25
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$696Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$454.08
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$183.15
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+118.7%+$91.39
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$92.86
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$409.09
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$178
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$125
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$161.09
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+97.5%+$320.69
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+88.6%+$323.33
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+49.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$978Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,664.7
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.67
Birmingham: Coleman Wong vs Oliver Tarvetbacked Oliver Tarvet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,330Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+302.5%+$4,023.59
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,161Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+122.7%+$2,651.58
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landalucebacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$549.67
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$159.24
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$785Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$785.26
Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,492Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+93.6%+$1,396.59
Roland Garros ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$696Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$607.8
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$987Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+104.2%+$1,028.63
Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Jaume Munarbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Ben Sheltonbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+224%+$89.61
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$43.66
Hamburg European Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Ignacio Busebacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Bordeaux: Alex Molcan vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$230.42
Bordeaux: Luca Van Assche vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$310.25
All 23 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,380.2
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$569.85
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+91.5%+$269.8
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$407.88
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$183
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$139
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$138.98
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.79
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,071Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,071.44
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+107.2%+$22.56
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+150.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-48.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.84
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$321
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+106.1%+$115.22
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
All 4 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.