UFC · resolved market
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb80cb224aaad81b579dd475129a43112827b1661fee3feec79122523ae5b933
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sean Stricklandof Sean Strickland, Khamzat Chimaev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,619,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,370,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,619,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,560 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa380…21ffbacked Sean Strickland | 19c | 1,263,733$240,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023,623.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Sean Strickland | 24c | 1,203,144$289,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914,095.78 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Sean Strickland | 38c | 1,133,258$431,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701,333.9 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7a…6940backed Sean Strickland | 18c | 743,261$136,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606,303.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +442.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a55…f9bebacked Sean Strickland | 18c | 540,364$98,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442,214.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +244.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Khamzat Chimaev | 3c | 367,962$12,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,005.63 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b62…db9cbacked Sean Strickland | 18c | 355,000$64,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290,850 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +167.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Khamzat Chimaev | 80c | 300,000$240,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240,000 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Sean Strickland | 21c | 293,877$60,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233,485.33 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Sean Strickland | 20c | 265,313$51,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213,451.02 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Sean Strickland | 19c | 250,409$46,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204,079.37 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1d…fa6abacked Sean Strickland | 20c | 242,013$48,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193,610.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Khamzat Chimaev | 79c | 179,056$141,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141,931.48 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…9a13backed Khamzat Chimaev | 0c | 135,540$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Khamzat Chimaev | 51c | 124,089$63,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,137.13 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Sean Strickland | 18c | 117,335$21,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,821.01 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Sean Strickland | 73c | 108,002$78,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,072.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a1…9dcebacked Sean Strickland | 18c | 107,831$19,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,421.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…a549backed Khamzat Chimaev | 1c | 97,292$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Khamzat Chimaev | 79c | 83,915$66,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,292.97 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Sean Strickland | 18c | 73,832$13,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,516.53 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Sean Strickland | 18c | 70,000$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,400 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Sean Strickland | 46c | 69,793$31,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,947.2 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b9…7126backed Sean Strickland | 17c | 64,378$11,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,226.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Sean Strickland | 37c | 63,168$23,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,772.68 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Sean Strickland | 33c | 52,347$17,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,853.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Khamzat Chimaev | 54c | 50,380$27,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,304.69 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…ff9bbacked Sean Strickland | 20c | 50,230$9,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,426.08 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…1edcbacked Sean Strickland | 19c | 50,027$9,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,522.08 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Khamzat Chimaev | 79c | 50,000$39,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,499.87 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…ec43backed Sean Strickland | 55c | 48,262$26,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,578.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +39%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x987c…cd13backed Sean Strickland | 19c | 44,368$8,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,938.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Sean Strickland | 18c | 40,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,799.77 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Sean Strickland | 21c | 39,450$8,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,165.43 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…1eebbacked Sean Strickland | 20c | 38,450$7,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,782.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Sean Strickland | 21c | 37,590$7,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,696.35 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +42%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Sean Strickland | 60c | 35,351$21,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,140.94 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Khamzat Chimaev | 74c | 34,378$25,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,370.81 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Khamzat Chimaev | 79c | 32,416$25,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,608.28 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…7a5fbacked Khamzat Chimaev | 80c | 30,900$24,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,720 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 55cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Khamzat Chimaev | 80c | 30,252$24,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,106 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Khamzat Chimaev | 80c | 30,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…3c7bbacked Sean Strickland | 18c | 28,646$5,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,425.36 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c1…1ef7backed Sean Strickland | 18c | 27,088$4,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,211.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +163.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…ae61backed Khamzat Chimaev | 79c | 25,834$20,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,450.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…b4c0backed Sean Strickland | 19c | 25,548$4,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,694.22 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +240.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…3eacbacked Khamzat Chimaev | 50c | 25,120$12,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,527.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Sean Strickland | 20c | 25,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x129e…1547backed Sean Strickland | 19c | 23,399$4,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,953.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Khamzat Chimaev | 64c | 23,031$14,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,658.81 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Khamzat Chimaev | 80c | 22,575$18,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,060.23 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4795…0fb0backed Khamzat Chimaev | 45c | 21,953$9,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,854.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b43…f54bbacked Khamzat Chimaev | 0c | 21,459$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Khamzat Chimaev | 50c | 21,107$10,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,520.16 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed Sean Strickland | 20c | 21,000$4,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,790 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +107.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Sean Strickland | 20c | 20,750$4,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95df…49cabacked Sean Strickland | 18c | 20,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,400 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47b3…039cbacked Khamzat Chimaev | 80c | 20,000$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb50…cccdbacked Khamzat Chimaev | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Khamzat Chimaev | 59c | 19,800$11,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,752.13 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa6…9d71backed Sean Strickland | 17c | 19,187$3,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,860.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +135%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…367ebacked Khamzat Chimaev | 79c | 19,034$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Khamzat Chimaev | 0c | 19,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Khamzat Chimaev | 80c | 18,888$15,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,110.4 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed2b…3ababacked Sean Strickland | 20c | 18,572$3,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,811.79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.19per pick | 25cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1895…efd2backed Khamzat Chimaev | 72c | 17,988$12,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,950 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Khamzat Chimaev | 69c | 17,500$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,999.97 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Sean Strickland | 19c | 17,143$3,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,861.36 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab8…050bbacked Khamzat Chimaev | 80c | 16,937$13,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,549.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Sean Strickland | 66c | 16,528$10,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,619.45 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Sean Strickland | 43c | 15,820$6,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,031.54 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…3400backed Sean Strickland | 19c | 15,359$2,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,440.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +226.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…37cdbacked Sean Strickland | 20c | 15,025$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,027.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Sean Strickland | 17c | 15,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,450 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…a992backed Sean Strickland | 20c | 14,858$2,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,886.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc001…59a3backed Sean Strickland | 20c | 14,746$2,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,750.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Khamzat Chimaev | 57c | 14,400$8,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,157.19 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed Sean Strickland | 21c | 13,628$2,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,766.5 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +45%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Khamzat Chimaev | 50c | 13,424$6,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,690.38 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Sean Strickland | 69c | 13,300$9,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,150.87 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Khamzat Chimaev | 75c | 13,055$9,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,805.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf595…bfb5backed Sean Strickland | 20c | 12,500$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…7489backed Khamzat Chimaev | 80c | 12,500$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…6f94backed Khamzat Chimaev | 80c | 12,500$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf547…332cbacked Khamzat Chimaev | 80c | 12,500$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Khamzat Chimaev | 80c | 12,453$9,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,962.42 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Khamzat Chimaev | 79c | 12,368$9,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,775.21 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Sean Strickland | 20c | 11,866$2,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,513.92 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b3…46febacked Sean Strickland | 19c | 11,377$2,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,188.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…05c8backed Khamzat Chimaev | 46c | 11,360$5,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,184.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…b184backed Sean Strickland | 21c | 11,194$2,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,869.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +219.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Sean Strickland | 19c | 10,556$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,555.56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Sean Strickland | 57c | 10,512$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,512.16 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e02…c3a0backed Sean Strickland | 20c | 10,478$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,382.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x916b…644cbacked Sean Strickland | 19c | 10,359$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,391.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Sean Strickland | 19c | 10,296$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,339.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Khamzat Chimaev | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Khamzat Chimaev | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…06acbacked Khamzat Chimaev | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…2f4abacked Sean Strickland | 19c | 10,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 3.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 4.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.