TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf9ac…1eeb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: UFC, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT220%0 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$510.53
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.7
Will Rickie Fowler win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$365.97
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,500
Will Keegan Bradley win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.87
Will Rickie Fowler win the 2026 Truist Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.2
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$895Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$894.96
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$572Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$572.28
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$398.36
Will Max Homa win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Brian Harman win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.78
Will Marco Penge win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$336.35
Will Sergio Garcia win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Davis Riley win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will J.J. Spaun win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.73
Will Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.44
Will Cameron Smith win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Joaquin Niemann win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Tony Finau win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Will Zalatoris win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Tom Kim win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 22 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+104.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,262Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,261.78
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+1,349.3%+$928.91
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-8.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,784Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,932.96
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-5.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,478Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,478.13
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.74
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$585.36
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,989Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,989.23
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-7.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$9,715Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8,275.57
Furman Paladins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.03
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,280
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+133.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,566Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,565.88
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.56
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,500.25
All 4 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$8,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,700
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$3,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,750
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$964Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$964
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,380
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,622Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,622.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group Dbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.