NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c7aee76714c3a69885cbf6a09c754529b255d038b9547d5cec1836906a0aecb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,402,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,859,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,402,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,893 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Lakers | 20c | 538,098$109,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109,400.31 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Lakers | 17c | 391,071$68,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,288.92 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Thunder | 75c | 217,478$162,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,326.03 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Lakers | 19c | 207,182$39,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,120.92 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Lakers | 11c | 167,567$19,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,090.1 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Thunder | 63c | 145,451$92,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,117.09 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Lakers | 32c | 133,907$42,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,873.61 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Lakers | 19c | 120,910$22,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,488.8 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Lakers | 12c | 105,678$12,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,629.57 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd959…daf7backed Lakers | 49c | 102,151$49,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,875.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Lakers | 22c | 101,042$22,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,640.25 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Lakers | 18c | 90,156$16,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,217.08 | 90 | 18.9%17 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8516…93a0backed Lakers | 20c | 82,038$16,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,608.77 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…f091backed Thunder | 59c | 79,589$47,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,562.58 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Thunder | 79c | 75,954$59,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,298.72 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Lakers | 22c | 70,797$15,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,718.93 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Lakers | 17c | 64,327$11,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,232.42 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Lakers | 11c | 53,000$5,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,839.99 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…1eebbacked Lakers | 17c | 50,000$8,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,700 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Thunder | 76c | 45,000$34,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,700 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…8060backed Lakers | 18c | 45,000$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,099.93 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6508backed Lakers | 48c | 40,880$19,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,438.48 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Lakers | 17c | 40,000$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,800 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Thunder | 80c | 40,000$31,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,199.98 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Thunder | 72c | 36,962$26,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,393.64 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Lakers | 20c | 36,286$7,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,177.02 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Thunder | 73c | 36,093$26,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,706.99 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked Lakers | 33c | 32,808$10,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,912.3 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Lakers | 17c | 30,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.93 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Lakers | 41c | 26,800$11,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,112.06 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +217.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Lakers | 22c | 25,904$5,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,612.36 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Thunder | 79c | 25,302$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,301.87 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Lakers | 19c | 24,877$4,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,628.84 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Lakers | 18c | 23,477$4,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,225.78 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Lakers | 18c | 22,222$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.96 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Thunder | 79c | 22,128$17,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,628.22 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Thunder | 76c | 21,683$16,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,174.63 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Lakers | 2c | 21,629$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.27 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Lakers | 50c | 21,000$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Lakers | 14c | 21,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.99 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Thunder | 80c | 20,669$16,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,204.4 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Thunder | 59c | 20,000$11,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,200 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1760…56ecbacked Thunder | 77c | 20,000$15,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.98 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Thunder | 69c | 19,885$13,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,164.3 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed Lakers | 18c | 19,596$3,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,527.29 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17c4…02fdbacked Lakers | 19c | 19,515$3,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,719.64 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Lakers | 18c | 19,458$3,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,502.47 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Thunder | 75c | 19,000$14,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,833.66 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Lakers | 28c | 17,857$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Thunder | 76c | 17,562$13,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,133.53 | 426 | 45.5%194 W · 232 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Lakers | 25c | 17,000$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,239.98 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked Lakers | 18c | 16,667$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Lakers | 22c | 16,304$3,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,525.74 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Thunder | 58c | 16,000$9,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,789.99 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Lakers | 30c | 15,966$4,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,836.01 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Lakers | 17c | 15,351$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,569.66 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Thunder | 79c | 15,000$11,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,129.99 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Lakers | 48c | 14,906$7,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,203.95 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Lakers | 15c | 12,687$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.07 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…c02abacked Lakers | 19c | 12,631$2,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,409.11 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Lakers | 31c | 12,446$3,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,830 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Thunder | 56c | 12,319$6,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,397.83 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Lakers | 19c | 12,200$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330.4 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Thunder | 75c | 12,186$9,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,086 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04c…9e3fbacked Lakers | 17c | 11,765$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Thunder | 80c | 11,050$8,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,226.4 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed Lakers | 15c | 11,025$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.53 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Lakers | 18c | 10,616$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.95 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Thunder | 71c | 10,522$7,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,030.74 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Lakers | 18c | 10,450$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa8…7ea2backed Thunder | 78c | 10,291$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,291.21 | 345 | 54.8%189 W · 156 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Thunder | 74c | 10,224$7,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.47 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Thunder | 75c | 10,000$7,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,497.6 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…e4bfbacked Lakers | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Lakers | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Thunder | 69c | 10,000$6,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,124.99 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…35aebacked Lakers | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Lakers | 18c | 9,965$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.63 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Lakers | 18c | 9,245$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.16 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc741…a270backed Lakers | 19c | 9,154$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.26 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Thunder | 61c | 9,067$5,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,564.92 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…5964backed Thunder | 79c | 8,870$7,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.02 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Thunder | 74c | 8,819$6,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,289.25 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x24d5…9e7cbacked Lakers | 18c | 8,404$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…ad1abacked Thunder | 55c | 8,400$4,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,749.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd105…7b2cbacked Lakers | 18c | 8,333$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +8.7wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +97%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x0de8…86eabacked Lakers | 21c | 8,287$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Thunder | 63c | 7,917$4,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,917.48 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed7b…7b92backed Lakers | 18c | 7,810$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.82 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Thunder | 72c | 7,713$5,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,154.83 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Thunder | 52c | 7,553$3,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,625.44 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Thunder | 64c | 7,191$4,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,605.26 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Lakers | 17c | 6,769$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.2 | 185 | 33%61 W · 124 L | -19.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Lakers | 44c | 6,373$2,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,812.47 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed Lakers | 18c | 6,266$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.88 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb44…f72dbacked Thunder | 53c | 6,233$3,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,929.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Thunder | 76c | 6,203$4,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.23 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Lakers | 18c | 6,111$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Thunder | 70c | 6,027$4,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.1 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Lakers | 18c | 6,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Lakersthis page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Lakers won
- Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Lakers won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 212.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 213.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 215.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.