NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf66581c96f7d0b374121053f9b2d7c3963346de7d82d699d5c4c572237822b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Thunder | 74c | 10,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.98 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Lakers | 26c | 6,057$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.74 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…1d90backed Thunder | 64c | 3,117$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed Lakers | 26c | 2,881$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.03 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Thunder | 72c | 1,902$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.29 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lakers | 43c | 1,467$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.06 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Lakers | 27c | 1,464$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Lakers | 26c | 1,435$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.14 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…4588backed Lakers | 29c | 1,070$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.31 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Thunder | 72c | 1,019$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.67 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lakers | 38c | 852.02$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.77 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Lakers | 39c | 809.78$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.89 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Thunder | 51c | 777.37$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.37 | 626 | 52.2%327 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Thunder | 61c | 763.5$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.86 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Thunder | 73c | 735.29$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.53 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed Lakers | 26c | 631.42$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.17 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Thunder | 74c | 599.98$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lakers | 28c | 549.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.5 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Lakers | 31c | 542.38$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.99 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Thunder | 72c | 453.04$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.85 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Lakers | 36c | 445.17$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.29 | 218 | 48.2%105 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Thunder | 58c | 403.55$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.49 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Lakers | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Lakers | 26c | 361.54$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e5…6199backed Lakers | 26c | 326.92$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…804bbacked Lakers | 37c | 273.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Lakers | 35c | 270.34$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.42 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf35e…f846backed Thunder | 63c | 269.72$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.41 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Thunder | 73c | 262.66$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.65 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fab…00afbacked Lakers | 27c | 215.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked Lakers | 28c | 189.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Thunder | 77c | 176.81$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Thunder | 71c | 159.05$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 473 | 59.2%280 W · 193 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1495…d3f9backed Lakers | 32c | 155.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Lakers | 35c | 134.94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…4985backed Lakers | 37c | 134.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d39…e318backed Lakers | 32c | 133.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Thunder | 76c | 130.28$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Thunder | 76c | 126$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Thunder | 73c | 117.6$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3824backed Thunder | 69c | 115.76$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.76 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Lakers | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…3b83backed Lakers | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…9ce4backed Lakers | 28c | 102.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 199 | 52.3%104 W · 95 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Thunder | 74c | 101.34$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Lakers | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…1253backed Thunder | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Thunder | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked Thunder | 76c | 98.74$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Thunder | 72c | 97.35$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Thunder | 74c | 95.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Lakers | 35c | 94.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Thunder | 73c | 88.01$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -6.6wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…5a62backed Thunder | 74c | 76.78$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 176 | 60.8%107 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Lakers | 55c | 74.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 317 | 48.9%155 W · 162 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x920e…7873backed Lakers | 27c | 73.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbd…a3a4backed Lakers | 27c | 72.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Lakers | 29c | 70.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed Lakers | 32c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…590ebacked Thunder | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed Thunder | 57c | 68.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Thunder | 71c | 62.07$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Thunder | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Lakers | 49c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 249 | 36.9%92 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Lakers | 49c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Lakers | 49c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…f611backed Thunder | 76c | 52.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabf8…4d13backed Thunder | 73c | 47.89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…e573backed Lakers | 24c | 45.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Lakers | 35c | 45.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 142 | 64.8%92 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Lakers | 35c | 42.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3893…8afbbacked Thunder | 54c | 41.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +9.5wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Lakers | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 130 | 36.2%47 W · 83 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Lakers | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Lakers | 28c | 40.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Thunder | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf791…ae5bbacked Lakers | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c23…bf7abacked Lakers | 64c | 38.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Lakers | 49c | 38.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…9eb9backed Thunder | 75c | 32.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Thunder | 75c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Thunder | 72c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…cc19backed Thunder | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Lakers | 47c | 25.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…bef3backed Thunder | 72c | 22.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Thunder | 71c | 19.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Thunder | 72c | 19.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae4…4484backed Thunder | 74c | 13.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Lakers won
- Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Lakers won
- Thunder vs. LakersThunder won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 212.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 213.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 215.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.