TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5cbd…a3a4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
184
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT8050%40 W · 40 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$53.21
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$31.42
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$31
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$47.56
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H Moneylinebacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H Moneylinebacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$25.94
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H Moneylinebacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$42.71
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT5137.3%19 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan - Who wins the toss?backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealandbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+272.5%+$122.65
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan - Who wins the toss?backed Afghanistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland - Who wins the toss?backed Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka - Who wins the toss?backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$66.68
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals - Who wins the toss?backed Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+96.3%+$289.13
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.03
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings - Who wins the toss?backed Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians - Who wins the toss?backed Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$135.19
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$95.67
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$79.17
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$45
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+180.1%+$86.63
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.28
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kingsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.32
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$69.4
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+74%+$314.68
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitals - Who wins the toss?backed Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.52
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-61.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.06
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$30.22
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Pedri: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick35cpaid-72.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Marton Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Brescia: Alessandra Mazzola vs Luisina Giovanninibacked Alessandra Mazzola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Fariabacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Madrid Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Caty McNallybacked Katerina Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.12
Madrid Open, Qualification: Zsombor Piros vs Tomas Barriosbacked Tomas Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.33
Madrid Open, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Christopher O'Connell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.04
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$28.4
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-51.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+54.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Metsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.