Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1772b4816641e1d1ed5892304ea1912f9782be58efad3a2ad70c59a713b5d111
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,558,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,807,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,558,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 747 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b71…afd3backed Yes | 64c | 1,029,353$658,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658,178.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…f076backed Yes | 64c | 373,683$239,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239,156.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed Yes | 64c | 235,927$150,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150,993.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe26c…88cfbacked No | 36c | 196,599$70,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125,823.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 36c | 163,920$59,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,908.8 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 36c | 118,874$42,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,083.1 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 114,448$48,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,909.66 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 36c | 98,935$36,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,828.46 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed No | 36c | 88,314$31,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,520.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 36c | 82,188$29,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,504.6 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 36c | 78,125$28,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,000 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 36c | 69,764$25,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,545.84 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 36c | 69,503$25,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,481.78 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 36c | 66,541$23,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,586.24 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 36c | 65,763$23,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,086.76 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 36c | 48,761$17,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,207.15 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 36c | 43,556$15,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,875.8 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 63c | 42,473$26,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,730.05 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed No | 36c | 35,191$12,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,522.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed No | 38c | 31,746$11,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,800.06 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 36c | 30,847$11,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,669.31 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…c83bbacked No | 36c | 29,218$10,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,699.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 37c | 29,098$10,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,434.95 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9c…4695backed Yes | 47c | 28,634$13,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,595.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…9a04backed No | 36c | 27,940$10,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,881.88 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 65c | 27,480$17,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,861.86 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 50c | 26,369$13,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,062.2 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…b809backed No | 36c | 20,000$7,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,840.18 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 36c | 18,888$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,088.32 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +6.8wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed No | 51c | 17,465$8,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,482.84 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 35c | 16,066$5,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,395.62 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 36c | 15,970$5,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,220.78 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 37c | 15,608$5,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,834.78 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 36c | 15,127$5,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,641.85 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9828…0f7ebacked No | 36c | 14,220$5,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,100.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 36c | 14,022$5,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,974.08 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed No | 36c | 13,721$4,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,781.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 40c | 13,601$5,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,448.84 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 36c | 13,591$4,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,698.26 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 37c | 13,012$4,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,261.38 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 37c | 12,931$4,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,146.65 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…9c9abacked No | 36c | 11,850$4,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,584 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 47c | 10,640$5,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.79 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…5e52backed No | 36c | 9,480$3,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,067.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 36c | 9,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,760 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 36c | 9,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,760 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…06d9backed No | 36c | 8,469$3,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,420.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 62c | 8,440$5,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,232.84 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 36c | 8,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,120 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ce…307dbacked No | 79c | 7,703$6,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…da98backed No | 36c | 7,360$2,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,710.14 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 63c | 7,321$4,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,612.5 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x536a…d21dbacked No | 36c | 6,320$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,044.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 38cpaid | +117.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 36c | 6,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…7f37backed Yes | 64c | 5,993$3,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,835.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 36c | 5,780$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,699.4 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 44c | 5,463$2,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,404.22 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 37c | 5,405$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,405.32 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed No | 37c | 5,216$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,286.24 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 55c | 4,515$2,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.98 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed No | 36c | 4,261$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,727.04 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 55c | 3,852$2,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.19 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Yes | 52c | 3,766$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.88 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 35c | 3,685$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,395.06 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc294…570ebacked Yes | 43c | 3,609$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 36c | 3,500$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 3,153$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.28 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…b908backed No | 36c | 3,100$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Yes | 63c | 3,092$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…1ab9backed Yes | 64c | 3,058$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,956.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Yes | 44c | 3,000$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.99 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 47c | 2,994$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.21 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 38c | 2,874$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.24 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2d…6443backed No | 36c | 2,771$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.31 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 36c | 2,742$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.09 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed No | 36c | 2,726$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.32 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 36c | 2,649$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.63 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 36c | 2,560$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.9 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed Yes | 38c | 2,542$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.99 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Yes | 48c | 2,523$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 37c | 2,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.98 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 41c | 2,457$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.98 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 36c | 2,400$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.94 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked No | 36c | 2,364$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.06 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…b6abbacked No | 36c | 2,211$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 63c | 2,198$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10d…4ba0backed No | 37c | 2,184$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 36c | 2,137$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.47 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed No | 36c | 2,083$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.12 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed No | 37c | 2,080$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.67 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 50c | 2,028$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.08 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.97 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes | 49c | 1,980$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.38 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9172…af2fbacked Yes | 49c | 1,978$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Yes | 62c | 1,968$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.03 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…7fb5backed Yes | 49c | 1,963$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?this page
- Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-04-26?No won
- Will VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.