Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26e5ca57d0c56dd4a60f36f9f76e5d08250ca727e41dfb4aceb70257f5011a98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $164,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $187,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 21c | 20,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,799.98 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed No | 24c | 16,484$3,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,880.37 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed No | 79c | 12,317$9,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,731.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 73c | 11,326$8,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,272.42 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 68c | 8,548$5,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,815.13 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 7,819$2,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400.7 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 60c | 7,289$4,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,881.8 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 74c | 6,921$5,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,120.98 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Yes | 27c | 5,723$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,177.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Yes | 55c | 5,475$3,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,472.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 41c | 5,399$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,167.34 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 80c | 4,871$3,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,896.43 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 34cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…5efabacked No | 79c | 4,790$3,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,784 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 20c | 3,750$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes | 27c | 3,497$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,540.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 36c | 3,372$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.36 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e3…fbb2backed Yes | 26c | 3,090$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,286.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed No | 79c | 2,568$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.3wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Yes | 53c | 2,307$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.51 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 21c | 2,028$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.79 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe6…fcc9backed Yes | 31c | 1,968$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 64c | 1,921$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.54 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 62c | 1,630$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.48 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes | 31c | 1,546$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.83 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 20c | 1,472$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.64 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x389b…8d69backed Yes | 27c | 1,417$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 79c | 1,260$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 21c | 1,034$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.05 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 79c | 835.09$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.72 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 79c | 835.09$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.72 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…02d2backed No | 79c | 828.38$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.42 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0e…6541backed No | 79c | 809.92$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b2…8297backed Yes | 67c | 735.6$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 48c | 724.52$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.65 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 59c | 719.74$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.12 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 47c | 646.01$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.32 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed No | 69c | 645.84$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.64 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ab…723dbacked No | 79c | 632.73$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 51c | 608.69$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.1 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 49c | 568.24$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.38 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 27c | 526.56$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.01 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde80…d8b9backed Yes | 32c | 518.57$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed No | 52c | 511.46$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.34 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked No | 80c | 482.23$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Yes | 21c | 480$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.2 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 31c | 479.3$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 31c | 473.12$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 45c | 460.97$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.54 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 38c | 452.84$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.51 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked No | 80c | 416.08$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.87 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 42c | 406.3$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.28 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 35c | 404.22$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.98 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…844fbacked Yes | 60c | 404.01$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 53c | 359.75$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.85 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 27c | 354.11$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.5 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…3efebacked Yes | 29c | 330.14$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 39c | 323.96$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.57 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Yes | 21c | 308.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.11 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 20c | 304.88$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.86 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Yes | 67c | 294.06$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.04 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94d1…0501backed Yes | 39c | 290.22$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 284.74$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.94 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 30c | 263.32$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.61 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…8c67backed No | 79c | 249.97$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 21c | 242.03$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.2 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 21c | 239.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.59 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 38c | 208.71$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.4 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a2…da60backed Yes | 62c | 204.9$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e6…b9f9backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Yes | 52c | 195.48$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Yes | 49c | 193.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Yes | 46c | 190.68$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.61 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 22c | 190.64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.7 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…62d7backed Yes | 31c | 170.07$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.35 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 24c | 161.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.27 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Yes | 32c | 159.28$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 46c | 157.76$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 26c | 143.34$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.07 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 28c | 134.45$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.45 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 21c | 129.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.62 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Yes | 70c | 129.44$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 22c | 124.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.4 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 79c | 124.37$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e3…8973backed Yes | 65c | 122.29$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 59c | 116.96$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.58 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes | 31c | 112.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.88 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 37cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…7650backed Yes | 61c | 112.16$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…4b25backed Yes | 27c | 106.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 49c | 99.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.82 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 31c | 98.95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.28 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…ed92backed No | 70c | 96.27$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e1…c1ebbacked No | 79c | 96.24$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.03 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 21c | 91.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.12 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Yes | 31c | 90.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 27c | 88.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.63 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…4944backed Yes | 62c | 87.08$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Yes | 22c | 86.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?this page
- Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-04-26?No won
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.