TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

0x287a…02d2

Rebuilt .

Qualified picks
114
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: La Liga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3476.5%26 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket62c$1,378LostAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,377.89
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket68c$1,208WonAug 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$568.4
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket73c$1,296WonAug 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$479.17
Will Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket71c$1,258WonMay 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$513.85
Will Girona FC vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket72c$1,018LostMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,017.54
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket63c$908WonMay 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$533.53
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket73c$908WonMay 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$336
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket79c$1,740WonMay 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$462.43
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket73c$1,748WonMay 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$646.36
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket61c$1,478WonMay 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$944.96
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket70c$1,743LostMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,742.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket72c$1,390WonMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$540.75
Will Sevilla FC vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket61c$2,007WonMay 9, 2026, EDT+63.5%+$1,273.87
Will Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket64c$1,626LostMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,626.34
Will Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket66c$858WonMay 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$441.81
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket71c$957WonMay 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$390.71
Will CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket74c$815WonMay 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$286.18
Will Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket68c$879WonMay 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$413.42
Will Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket72c$951WonMay 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$370.02
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket64c$1,100LostApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100.49
Will CA Osasuna vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket63c$1,094WonApr 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$642.62
Will Valencia CF vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket65c$1,042WonApr 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$560.88
Will Getafe CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket70c$1,020WonApr 25, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$440.09
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket67c$1,377WonApr 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$678.14
Will Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket63c$1,342WonApr 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$787.98
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3372.7%24 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick74cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Heerenveen vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket80c$854WonAug 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$213.4
Will Fortuna Sittard vs. AZ end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket80c$967WonAug 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$241.71
Will CD Nacional vs. Estoril Praia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket66c$1,249WonAug 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$643.6
Will FC Utrecht vs. AZ end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket71c$805WonAug 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$328.97
Will Willem II Tilburg vs. NEC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket77c$843WonAug 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$251.83
Will AZ vs. ADO Den Haag end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket77c$715WonAug 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$213.66
Will Vitória SC vs. FC Arouca end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket67c$1,118WonAug 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$550.83
Will CS Marítimo vs. Casa Pia AC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket66c$1,098WonAug 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$565.38
Will SC Heerenveen vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket75c$1,108LostMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,108.11
Will PEC Zwolle vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket77c$1,101WonMay 17, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$338.06
Will FC Famalicão vs. FC Alverca end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket73c$1,303WonMay 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$481.91
Will Moreirense FC vs. AVS Futebol end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket69c$1,492LostMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,492.15
Will NAC Breda vs. SC Heerenveen end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket72c$944WonMay 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$367.17
Will Telstar 1963 vs. Heracles Almelo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket79c$868WonMay 10, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$232.45
Will AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket77c$1,221WonMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$364.69
Will FC Groningen vs. NEC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket72c$815WonMay 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$316.94
Will Fortuna Sittard vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket78c$719WonMay 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$202.8
Will NEC vs. Telstar 1963 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket80c$761LostMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$760.56
Will FC Utrecht vs. NAC Breda end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket75c$743WonMay 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$247.7
Will Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket74c$863WonApr 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$303.34
Will Heracles Almelo vs. FC Volendam end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket72c$768WonApr 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$298.66
Will NAC Breda vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket74c$755WonApr 25, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$270.62
Will Go Ahead Eagles vs. AZ end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket75c$1,008LostApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,008.17
Will Telstar 1963 vs. Sparta Rotterdam end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket73c$1,017WonApr 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$376.12
Will PEC Zwolle vs. SBV Excelsior end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket79c$740LostApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$740.41
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2369.6%16 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick74cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket69c$628WonMay 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$282.32
Will SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket73c$867WonMay 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$320.62
Will SV Werder Bremen vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket74c$879WonMay 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$308.75
Will SC Freiburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket71c$544LostMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$544.19
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket73c$614WonMay 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$226.95
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket76c$625WonMay 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$197.24
Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket69c$536LostMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$536.5
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket77c$621WonMay 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$185.55
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket79c$654LostApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$654.42
Will Hamburger SV vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket76c$625WonApr 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$197.4
Will FC Augsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket72c$659LostApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$659.43
Will 1. FC Köln vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket74c$658WonApr 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$231.2
Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket73c$661LostApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$661
Will RB Leipzig vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket77c$553WonApr 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$165.11
Will SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket75c$968WonApr 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$322.64
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket75c$908WonApr 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$302.7
Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket72c$796WonApr 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$309.74
Will RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket79c$876WonApr 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$232.79
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket74c$873WonApr 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$306.75
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket73c$406LostApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$405.97
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket73c$609WonApr 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$225.4
Will SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket79c$609WonApr 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$161.84
Will Hamburger SV vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket71c$543LostApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$543.47
All 23 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick73cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket75c$923WonAug 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$307.52
Will FC Lorient vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket68c$828WonMay 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$389.86
Will Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket77c$976WonMay 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$291.47
Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket73c$1,088WonMay 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$402.24
Will OGC Nice vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket77c$761LostMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$760.57
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket74c$731LostApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$730.59
Will FC Lorient vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket72c$198WonApr 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$76.88
Will Lille OSC vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket71c$1,485LostApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,485.13
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket72c$781WonApr 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$303.58
Will Lille OSC vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket69c$474WonApr 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$213.08
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket72c$612WonApr 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$237.78
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick73cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket76c$953LostMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$953.47
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket74c$950WonMay 24, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$334.18
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket76c$961LostMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$960.83
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket68c$1,078WonMay 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$507.18
Will Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket79c$1,139WonMay 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$302.69
Will Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket68c$21WonApr 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$10
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket71c$774WonApr 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$316.13
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket72c$759LostApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$759.41
Will Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket70c$768WonApr 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$329.29
Will Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket71c$822LostApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$821.85
Will Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket74c$649WonApr 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$228.11
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket0c$250LostJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket70c$250LostJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.