Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Groningen vs. NEC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a6077555bb773982936fdf5cad7f4a1930d50d8c1d9ef86c6e226e9304c0dcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfe3…c693backed Yes | 27c | 2,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 76c | 2,003$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.45 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed No | 75c | 1,833$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.24 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 20c | 1,364$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.5 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…02d2backed No | 72c | 1,132$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.94 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 25c | 700$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 512.22$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.78 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 478.36$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.16 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 28c | 432.8$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.97 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 360.45$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.32 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 29c | 299.42$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.83 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 71c | 230.46$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.37 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 17c | 150.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 50c | 125$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 25c | 117$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…5694backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 78c | 91.43$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 56c | 91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -14.9wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 50c | 82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 29c | 65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 75c | 62.8$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…2d87backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa470…5283backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 50.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 24c | 50.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 25c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked No | 76c | 44.87$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 75c | 43.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed No | 69c | 42.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -5.2wins | -0.25per pick | 67cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x877c…e669backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 25cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 34c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 72c | 32.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 74c | 31.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 70 | 75.7%53 W · 17 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 75c | 25.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 72 | 76.4%55 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 73c | 18.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 17.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Groningen vs. NEC end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Groningen win on 2026-05-10?Yes won
- Will NEC win on 2026-05-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.