TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x877c…e669

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
247
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT22963.3%145 W · 84 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 229 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilicbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$12.95
Jodar vs. Nishikori: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Sinner vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 40.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$8.53
Auger-Aliassime vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.15
Safiullin vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
Istanbul: Benjamin Hassan vs Filip Jianubacked Filip Jianu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.82
Bordeaux: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Quentin Halysbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.28
Parma: Barbora Krejcikova vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.93
Parma: Dominika Salkova vs Camila Osoriobacked Dominika Salkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.76
Tunis: Dalibor Svrcina vs Tristan Boyerbacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.4
Tunis: Guy Den Ouden vs Dali Blanchbacked Dali Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$18.6
Cordoba: Franco Roncadelli vs Pedro Sakamotobacked Franco Roncadelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$30.8
Oeiras 4: Vilius Gaubas vs Frederico Ferreira Silvabacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$18.2
Oeiras 4: Tiago Pereira vs Gastao Eliasbacked Tiago Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.6
Bengaluru 2: Kriish Tyagi vs Taiyo Yamanakabacked Taiyo Yamanaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.41
Bengaluru 2: Ronit Karki vs Manish Sureshkumarbacked Manish Sureshkumar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$19.24
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.08
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Qinwen Zheng vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.25
Francavilla: Facundo Acosta vs Chun-Hsin Tsengbacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.4
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Denis Shapovalov vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Belinda Bencic vs Bianca Andreescubacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$14.07
Francavilla: Jay Clarke vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.5
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Mattia Belluccibacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexei Popyrin vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.46
Showing 25 of 229 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+24.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick25cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Groningen vs. NEC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. AZ end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$31.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.