Tennis · resolved market
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Denis Shapovalov vs Mariano Navone
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5efc384832da37012fa14a63961214e471dbb6e2f824b6f0dbacd5667d3378b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mariano Navoneof Denis Shapovalov, Mariano Navone
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $323,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $338,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $323,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x625d…c6a1backed Denis Shapovalov | 9c | 29,119$2,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,637.49 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0da…f3f0backed Denis Shapovalov | 16c | 24,921$3,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,987.35 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Denis Shapovalov | 4c | 22,816$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.83 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Denis Shapovalov | 18c | 9,580$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.36 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Mariano Navone | 65c | 9,000$5,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 647 | 55.2%357 W · 290 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Denis Shapovalov | 35c | 7,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 307 | 40.7%125 W · 182 L | -23.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…4fb2backed Mariano Navone | 69c | 6,783$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.77 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mariano Navone | 71c | 6,732$4,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.93 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed Denis Shapovalov | 11c | 6,207$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.35 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…cea7backed Denis Shapovalov | 7c | 5,800$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 327 | 35.5%116 W · 211 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Mariano Navone | 78c | 5,370$4,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.54 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Denis Shapovalov | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Denis Shapovalov | 34c | 4,685$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.92 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Denis Shapovalov | 32c | 4,098$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.36 | 543 | 45.3%246 W · 297 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Mariano Navone | 66c | 4,093$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.48 | 488 | 55.9%273 W · 215 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Mariano Navone | 67c | 4,039$2,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.22 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Denis Shapovalov | 33c | 3,427$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.09 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…44a6backed Denis Shapovalov | 35c | 3,317$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161 | 212 | 44.3%94 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b52…568ebacked Denis Shapovalov | 34c | 2,955$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 204 | 59.3%121 W · 83 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Mariano Navone | 65c | 2,939$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.18 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Mariano Navone | 77c | 2,564$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.71 | 536 | 55.4%297 W · 239 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Mariano Navone | 78c | 2,549$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.46 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Denis Shapovalov | 35c | 2,312$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.08 | 283 | 38.9%110 W · 173 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Denis Shapovalov | 5c | 2,180$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Denis Shapovalov | 13c | 2,010$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.29 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ff…3214backed Denis Shapovalov | 2c | 1,700$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 384 | 22.4%86 W · 298 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Denis Shapovalov | 6c | 1,553$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.46 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Denis Shapovalov | 22c | 1,551$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.32 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c4…5e52backed Mariano Navone | 75c | 1,520$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.64 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d1…c677backed Mariano Navone | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Denis Shapovalov | 37c | 1,453$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.42 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Denis Shapovalov | 7c | 1,444$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Mariano Navone | 74c | 1,387$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.07 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Mariano Navone | 79c | 1,220$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.2 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Denis Shapovalov | 38c | 1,158$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Denis Shapovalov | 35c | 1,143$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Denis Shapovalov | 38c | 1,072$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.24 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80be…4dfebacked Denis Shapovalov | 34c | 1,051$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Denis Shapovalov | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7f…2ae7backed Mariano Navone | 67c | 999.98$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Mariano Navone | 65c | 999.93$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.98 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Denis Shapovalov | 34c | 940.17$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.63 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Mariano Navone | 62c | 891.98$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.06 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…6e48backed Mariano Navone | 60c | 840$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Denis Shapovalov | 6c | 824.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Mariano Navone | 80c | 818.29$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.36 | 552 | 43.3%239 W · 313 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed Mariano Navone | 64c | 787.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.35 | 184 | 62%114 W · 70 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Mariano Navone | 61c | 782.53$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.19 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Mariano Navone | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 327 | 63.9%209 W · 118 L | +15.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Mariano Navone | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 259 | 57.1%148 W · 111 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Denis Shapovalov | 34c | 728.17$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Denis Shapovalov | 42c | 717.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d1…edabbacked Denis Shapovalov | 29c | 646.91$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Mariano Navone | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdad9…c300backed Mariano Navone | 64c | 574.04$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.04 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -9.0wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed30…ddedbacked Denis Shapovalov | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Mariano Navone | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Denis Shapovalov | 24c | 564.82$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.19 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Denis Shapovalov | 33c | 550$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.5 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Mariano Navone | 63c | 540.58$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.58 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Denis Shapovalov | 36c | 537.96$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.66 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…3ca3backed Mariano Navone | 63c | 534.29$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.69 | 494 | 47.2%233 W · 261 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Denis Shapovalov | 6c | 471.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 329 | 37.1%122 W · 207 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed Mariano Navone | 74c | 464.28$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.71 | 430 | 62.3%268 W · 162 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Mariano Navone | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Denis Shapovalov | 37c | 446.09$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.68 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Denis Shapovalov | 36c | 445$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.19 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5534…1036backed Denis Shapovalov | 13c | 436.18$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Denis Shapovalov | 7c | 419.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Mariano Navone | 65c | 411.72$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.68 | 318 | 41.8%133 W · 185 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Mariano Navone | 74c | 398.06$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.69 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Mariano Navone | 79c | 375$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.43 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…9a48backed Mariano Navone | 65c | 366.97$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.97 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…7650backed Denis Shapovalov | 36c | 352.78$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Denis Shapovalov | 35c | 349.74$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.41 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae3…cd3bbacked Denis Shapovalov | 38c | 342.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8082…4d66backed Mariano Navone | 66c | 338.57$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.4 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…cc07backed Denis Shapovalov | 35c | 321.43$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Mariano Navone | 62c | 308.26$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.12 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Denis Shapovalov | 35c | 307$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.45 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Mariano Navone | 65c | 306.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.77 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Mariano Navone | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e8…b293backed Denis Shapovalov | 37c | 297.3$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 203 | 37.9%77 W · 126 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Denis Shapovalov | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Mariano Navone | 65c | 293.05$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.57 | 222 | 55.4%123 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Denis Shapovalov | 34c | 289.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Denis Shapovalov | 34c | 286$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Mariano Navone | 63c | 267.14$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.84 | 659 | 42.2%278 W · 381 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f4…a47fbacked Mariano Navone | 61c | 251.52$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.09 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…a830backed Denis Shapovalov | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 110 | 24.5%27 W · 83 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Mariano Navone | 56c | 249.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 523 | 41.5%217 W · 306 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…7ddfbacked Mariano Navone | 78c | 247.88$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.93 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x788f…8c1ebacked Denis Shapovalov | 37c | 239.41$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 184 | 60.3%111 W · 73 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Denis Shapovalov | 43c | 232.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 49.1%213 W · 221 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x794c…fa17backed Mariano Navone | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 150 | 70%105 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Mariano Navone | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 402 | 64.4%259 W · 143 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0554…79b9backed Mariano Navone | 64c | 227.97$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…ad11backed Denis Shapovalov | 33c | 200.66$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.22 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Denis Shapovalov | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.96 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Mariano Navone | 80c | 197.9$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Denis Shapovalov vs Mariano Navonethis page
- Denis Shapovalov vs. Mariano Navone: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Shapovalov vs NavoneNavone won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.