TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0947…a830

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
225
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Commodities, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT11024.5%27 W · 83 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 110 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Quebec City: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Luca Van Asschebacked Stefanos Sakellaridis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Cancun: Hubert Hurkacz vs Moez Echarguibacked Moez Echargui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Coleman Wongbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Cancun: Roman Safiullin vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keysbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.94
Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Asschebacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Prague 2: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Norbert Gombosbacked Norbert Gombos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roehampton: Lui Maxted vs Lucas Poullainbacked Lui Maxted · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Quebec City: Rei Sakamoto vs Luca Van Asschebacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullainbacked Lucas Poullain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$138.13
Sion: Benjamin Hassan vs Geoffrey Blancaneauxbacked Geoffrey Blancaneaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jakub Mensikbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+287.2%+$861.61
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+579.3%+$336.6
Prague 2: Norbert Gombos vs Sean Cueninbacked Norbert Gombos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$227.78
Cincinnati Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Sloane Stephensbacked Sloane Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borgesbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Sion: Gerard Campana Lee vs Alex Marti Pujolrasbacked Gerard Campana Lee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Prague 2: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Martin Krumichbacked Martin Krumich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roehampton: Matteo Martineau vs Lui Maxtedbacked Matteo Martineau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Prague 2: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Norbert Gombosbacked Norbert Gombos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$85
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Max Dahlinbacked Max Dahlin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs Alex de Minaurbacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Showing 25 of 110 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2425%6 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Enzo Fernández: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$289.86
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.21
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$113.24
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.9
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$125.13
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,800
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$763.64
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$212.73
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 13.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.49
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.66
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 209.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$108.79
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Bucks vs. Clippersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51.8
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$67.36
Rockets vs. Heat: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$48.68
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Mavericks vs. Knicksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+186.4%+$37.29
Clippers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$210.98
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.92
Will FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.43
Will PSV win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Newcastle United FC vs. PSV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$67
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+733.3%+$198
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+177.8%+$53.33
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-33.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$288
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+565.4%+$282.69
Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$206
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.26per pick18cpaid+94.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$471.57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.82
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$185.71
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+323.8%+$323.8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$404
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$243
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+412.1%+$501.29
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick10cpaid+24.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick11cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+203%+$203.03
Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.82
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.93
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+348.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+348.8%+$551.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne City FC vs. Adelaide United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.