Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f7f1f84cc0497e3f21b76628b6ed9ac9abab9893b6d23f1af6108db64c0d34c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,395,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,510,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,395,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 7c | 233,991$16,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,208.43 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 2c | 21,891$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.45 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes | 0c | 20,256$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c1…f6bebacked Yes | 8c | 18,987$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 9c | 18,188$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.89 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e62…c577backed Yes | 5c | 17,849$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.93 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…c7c3backed Yes | 7c | 15,879$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Yes | 5c | 15,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 14,407$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba8…5968backed Yes | 10c | 13,685$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…3c6dbacked Yes | 8c | 12,500$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 3c | 11,219$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.86 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes | 7c | 10,741$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.58 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 2c | 10,101$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.35 | 93 | 17.2%16 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576f…819abacked Yes | 9c | 9,814$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.08 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…0720backed Yes | 6c | 9,596$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…ce76backed Yes | 2c | 8,557$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.39 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b91…a535backed Yes | 5c | 8,396$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…c5ebbacked Yes | 5c | 8,038$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.71 | 294 | 36.1%106 W · 188 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe228…1f4cbacked Yes | 12c | 7,341$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.92 | 41 | 7.3%3 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed Yes | 6c | 7,302$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.09 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d7…c2bfbacked Yes | 3c | 7,081$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.81 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef00…c61abacked Yes | 3c | 6,930$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf505…7a35backed Yes | 9c | 6,746$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.1 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +118.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Yes | 2c | 6,380$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.81 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c12…79d9backed Yes | 2c | 6,337$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 3c | 6,064$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 97 | 9.3%9 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 5c | 6,000$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7acd…1086backed Yes | 2c | 5,925$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Yes | 1c | 5,634$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.39 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 3c | 5,239$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.31 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 6c | 5,076$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.3 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac29…36c7backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +339.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 10c | 4,728$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.54 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9548…655fbacked Yes | 3c | 4,280$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 4c | 4,249$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 94 | 22.3%21 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…c0f5backed Yes | 6c | 4,183$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…ed03backed Yes | 6c | 4,100$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…03dbbacked Yes | 6c | 3,343$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbea…ea49backed Yes | 3c | 2,887$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.35 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3577…31e6backed Yes | 7c | 2,666$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.39 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6778…226abacked Yes | 7c | 2,571$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +7.7wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Yes | 8c | 2,412$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.94 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed Yes | 7c | 2,406$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.45 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…a830backed Yes | 7c | 2,356$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 18cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Yes | 2c | 2,300$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 3c | 2,217$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 199 | 23.1%46 W · 153 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 12c | 2,087$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.48 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08d3…2150backed Yes | 5c | 2,031$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.23 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6d…bec8backed Yes | 9c | 1,958$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 14cpaid | +355.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd565…69a4backed Yes | 1c | 1,890$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33b0…fa5dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,783$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 9c | 1,757$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.69 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7ce0backed Yes | 2c | 1,667$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fc…03b0backed Yes | 7c | 1,665$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f3…0a98backed Yes | 5c | 1,627$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.33 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fd…6acfbacked Yes | 6c | 1,590$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9849…2ee5backed Yes | 6c | 1,457$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 1,414$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.33 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 2c | 1,393$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 84 | 0%0 W · 84 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Yes | 2c | 1,391$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…6ecdbacked Yes | 11c | 1,317$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 28cpaid | +159.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…ff46backed Yes | 7c | 1,310$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b4…a38abacked Yes | 1c | 1,308$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,266$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 1,032 | 9.3%96 W · 936 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd96…6a46backed Yes | 7c | 1,260$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…6ba9backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6130…1392backed Yes | 9c | 1,230$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfb…dffabacked Yes | 7c | 1,217$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…f015backed Yes | 7c | 1,206$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +20.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0c30…6759backed Yes | 10c | 1,164$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.35 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe602…a28dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,111$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0608…ff08backed Yes | 1c | 1,100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,006$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93cd…f8d7backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9619…0591backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…6be7backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25f0…1facbacked Yes | 6c | 999.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 5c | 999.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993e…7c69backed Yes | 2c | 994.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb935…204bbacked Yes | 7c | 958$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.06 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…cfb5backed Yes | 8c | 909.9$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfa…ba27backed Yes | 9c | 906.78$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe147…a042backed Yes | 7c | 856.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…aa53backed Yes | 12c | 840$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d9…63cdbacked Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7d…251fbacked Yes | 11c | 818.18$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eec…600bbacked Yes | 7c | 816.94$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe018…a22dbacked Yes | 11c | 809.55$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked Yes | 6c | 721$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 8c | 700$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 69 | 2.9%2 W · 67 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…d498backed Yes | 7c | 700$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 3c | 699.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…e615backed Yes | 6c | 673.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d1…b949backed Yes | 3c | 660.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 17cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74c2…891abacked Yes | 7c | 648.79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb42c…c27bbacked Yes | 8c | 619.52$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x366a…ebeabacked Yes | 8c | 618.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.