Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd86177011df25e467bdfa1c25481edaf1006e88da184965173e03c8d1cc4f2d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,780,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,167,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,780,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 9c | 124,595$10,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,905.54 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 5c | 93,968$4,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,289.26 | 93 | 17.2%16 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 7c | 91,301$6,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,239.2 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Yes | 4c | 77,734$3,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,243.75 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0b…840abacked Yes | 12c | 56,937$6,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,907.73 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafc0…5087backed Yes | 15c | 37,419$5,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,489.05 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 3c | 37,021$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.87 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…60b5backed Yes | 9c | 35,640$3,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,071.57 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fa…1a14backed Yes | 7c | 34,618$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.19 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes | 0c | 33,907$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Yes | 5c | 33,680$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.84 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 15c | 25,000$3,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,624.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…3068backed Yes | 4c | 24,312$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.4 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 4c | 24,056$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.25 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Yes | 4c | 22,142$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…d050backed Yes | 2c | 20,399$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.31 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576f…819abacked Yes | 10c | 17,359$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.38 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3be5…867ebacked Yes | 6c | 17,046$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 10c | 16,255$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.09 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7607…c74bbacked Yes | 4c | 15,882$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.9 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x740c…d013backed Yes | 13c | 15,044$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.56 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb12a…cb82backed Yes | 5c | 14,842$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.3 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 7c | 14,268$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.69 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 2c | 14,017$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.43 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…11d7backed Yes | 11c | 13,455$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…05eabacked Yes | 2c | 13,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x744a…923bbacked Yes | 4c | 13,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae21…d7d9backed Yes | 1c | 12,394$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551b…b47ebacked Yes | 4c | 12,331$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c1…e8b3backed Yes | 4c | 12,166$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.47 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked Yes | 3c | 12,145$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe340…ce0dbacked Yes | 5c | 11,967$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3532…663abacked Yes | 1c | 11,837$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed Yes | 11c | 11,250$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.5 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb057…0a24backed Yes | 17c | 10,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 3c | 10,000$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…1672backed Yes | 1c | 9,623$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.55 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8361…8e6dbacked Yes | 1c | 9,500$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 10c | 9,312$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.09 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…ce76backed Yes | 4c | 9,102$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.05 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b2…a321backed Yes | 13c | 8,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe36f…cd91backed Yes | 5c | 7,981$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.08 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 2c | 7,748$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.22 | 97 | 9.3%9 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09b1…0d3ebacked Yes | 4c | 6,885$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7313…25ddbacked Yes | 15c | 6,871$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd88…4037backed Yes | 16c | 6,427$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.48 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -42%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf21e…d0cabacked Yes | 6c | 6,287$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ad…bd19backed Yes | 11c | 6,127$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.74 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1664…a0cebacked Yes | 8c | 6,000$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes | 10c | 5,599$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.33 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 2c | 5,451$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.14 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…eceebacked Yes | 4c | 5,263$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2720…7c5cbacked Yes | 2c | 5,017$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.15 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…dbb2backed Yes | 13c | 4,454$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.22 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa65e…1b08backed Yes | 12c | 4,299$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…9840backed Yes | 10c | 4,152$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.42 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f5…e804backed Yes | 11c | 4,129$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…396abacked Yes | 5c | 4,108$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ca…7229backed Yes | 4c | 3,652$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Yes | 6c | 3,600$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.53 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +289%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15af…9e32backed Yes | 11c | 3,210$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.37 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…58a3backed Yes | 6c | 3,129$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.69 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed Yes | 17c | 3,098$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.64 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab18…467dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,050$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 15c | 3,001$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.47 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 4c | 3,000$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef22…8c02backed Yes | 2c | 3,000$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.81 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629f…6babbacked Yes | 11c | 2,990$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.59 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…4a2abacked Yes | 10c | 2,978$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c0…d0a6backed Yes | 3c | 2,969$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c1…384ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,733$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…0158backed Yes | 4c | 2,251$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 5c | 2,226$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.91 | 99 | 14.1%14 W · 85 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…220ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,222$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.54 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…c658backed Yes | 7c | 2,184$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.13 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7334…81dabacked Yes | 14c | 2,163$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.31 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x888a…19ffbacked Yes | 17c | 2,087$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…90a2backed Yes | 12c | 2,066$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7a…6875backed Yes | 4c | 2,021$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.59 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…dd47backed Yes | 11c | 2,000$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked Yes | 15c | 2,000$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -68%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25d7…c2bfbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 14c | 2,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…8354backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,000$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…6b11backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3f…9ed2backed Yes | 11c | 2,000$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.08 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 13c | 1,939$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.26 | 140 | 31.4%44 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yes | 13c | 1,881$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.39 | 1,265 | 24.5%310 W · 955 L | -56.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 4c | 1,611$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.14 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…3cd5backed Yes | 11c | 1,511$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.72 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 7c | 1,400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3e…fde0backed Yes | 7c | 1,400$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf75f…0988backed Yes | 3c | 1,397$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Yes | 1c | 1,363$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecf…13d2backed Yes | 4c | 1,338$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.81 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…2f95backed Yes | 4c | 1,316$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 10c | 1,300$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.68 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1c…2b32backed Yes | 11c | 1,285$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…09f9backed Yes | 4c | 1,255$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.