Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96d62023398788f44afff65cd3513eddc9bdb0fddaaf15206212f076721167a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $891,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $882,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $891,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 437 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe36f…cd91backed Yes | 50c | 150,204$75,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,773.61 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 46c | 120,321$55,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,447.66 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf396…ed0dbacked No | 50c | 66,613$32,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,981.94 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 54c | 36,947$20,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,077.5 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 42c | 36,354$15,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,196.42 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 56c | 29,653$16,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,123.58 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 73c | 21,055$15,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,370.44 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61e7…6e8bbacked No | 32c | 19,038$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8eb…8473backed No | 3c | 18,649$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.8 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…c43ebacked No | 23c | 17,394$3,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.01 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 32c | 16,789$5,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,373.61 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc15b…38afbacked Yes | 78c | 15,859$12,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,489.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…8c16backed No | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…4b43backed No | 23c | 13,903$3,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,265.16 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 40c | 10,566$4,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,263.71 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Yes | 27c | 9,200$2,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,741.62 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +7.5wins | +0.44per pick | 27cpaid | +155.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…9989backed No | 61c | 7,683$4,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,677.81 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bd…ebcebacked Yes | 78c | 7,651$5,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…1b9bbacked No | 38c | 6,863$2,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,575.78 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f5…f507backed No | 46c | 6,828$3,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,137.31 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 39c | 6,409$2,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,486.96 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked No | 20c | 6,363$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.34 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 49c | 6,248$3,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,083.39 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…cd46backed No | 25c | 6,236$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94df…2dcebacked No | 58c | 5,949$3,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,456.76 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 29c | 5,931$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.17 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…c7a1backed No | 56c | 5,865$3,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,260.06 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 33c | 5,768$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.25 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740c…d013backed No | 21c | 5,091$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.13 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 16c | 4,900$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.99 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Yes | 24c | 4,699$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,568.89 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f11…4529backed No | 19c | 4,259$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 65c | 4,200$2,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,718 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a6…2190backed No | 39c | 4,051$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.27 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 15c | 4,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…397dbacked No | 40c | 3,865$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfac3…99ffbacked No | 58c | 3,716$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155.08 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8251…879dbacked No | 15c | 3,617$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.95 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a38…d6abbacked No | 35c | 3,557$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.58 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8085…ea17backed No | 55c | 3,546$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fb50backed No | 58c | 3,520$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,033.08 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…8eaebacked No | 20c | 3,399$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcac5…590ebacked No | 63c | 3,307$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed No | 42c | 3,171$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.97 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…3c6dbacked Yes | 35c | 3,048$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.31 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed No | 22c | 2,805$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6974…6256backed No | 23c | 2,641$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d64…26cebacked No | 13c | 2,508$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…fe61backed Yes | 51c | 2,500$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.98 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35a4…7b85backed No | 51c | 2,345$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.1 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 19c | 2,329$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.45 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7971…8dd0backed No | 35c | 2,275$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x918e…3271backed No | 18c | 2,116$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.04 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No | 56c | 2,113$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.27 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 44c | 2,096$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.45 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed No | 1c | 2,006$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 112 | 12.5%14 W · 98 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…7457backed Yes | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f80…fa5cbacked No | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28c…cdf8backed No | 11c | 1,987$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.66 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf115…ad6bbacked No | 36c | 1,937$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdab4…e253backed No | 77c | 1,909$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…1708backed Yes | 34c | 1,898$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.86 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 50c | 1,889$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.64 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a8…70b3backed No | 34c | 1,875$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.61 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c18…a04cbacked Yes | 62c | 1,797$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.43 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 37c | 1,778$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.09 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabbe…8f37backed No | 72c | 1,771$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d97…d127backed No | 24c | 1,725$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…1258backed No | 48c | 1,649$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x517b…be02backed No | 55c | 1,634$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…10fabacked No | 42c | 1,603$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 2c | 1,525$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 91 | 1.1%1 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04a…acfcbacked No | 14c | 1,504$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.45 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 78c | 1,499$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.48 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…dfd2backed Yes | 67c | 1,476$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b87…3e8dbacked No | 68c | 1,475$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…f7a4backed No | 38c | 1,473$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.46 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed No | 8c | 1,403$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.08 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked No | 43c | 1,400$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed No | 29c | 1,290$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.38 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x027e…c97fbacked No | 35c | 1,272$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…89c2backed No | 7c | 1,269$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.86 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae70…abfbbacked No | 20c | 1,206$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.97 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…008cbacked No | 45c | 1,117$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed No | 74c | 1,100$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 60cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d82…a5e9backed No | 61c | 1,100$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.67 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcc…12a6backed No | 17c | 1,062$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…5593backed No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…56ffbacked Yes | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe652…d114backed No | 41c | 987.62$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.15 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb98…1960backed No | 26c | 975.59$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd152…2261backed No | 22c | 963.67$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e1…0458backed Yes | 40c | 924.83$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.06 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…5b0fbacked No | 20c | 910.4$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.09 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cd…c6b1backed No | 59c | 907.67$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc68a…af49backed No | 40c | 889.89$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbba7…434cbacked No | 49c | 882.75$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.67 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed No | 59c | 807.2$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.91 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.