Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda7be8337468a7b00a81b2696fb32663ecdd9e83100be672c98b9a816e518277
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $375,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $425,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $375,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x073a…2cdabacked No | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -55%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 73c | 36,669$26,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,046.95 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a38…d6abbacked No | 8c | 22,700$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.79 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked No | 30c | 21,438$6,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,435.61 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa348…9c6ebacked No | 0c | 11,910$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed No | 22c | 10,826$2,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,364.2 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a7…0b46backed No | 0c | 10,096$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde54…baa8backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed No | 17c | 10,000$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.43 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 77c | 9,224$7,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.94 | 930 | 40.3%375 W · 555 L | -67.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 19c | 8,546$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.09 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 23c | 8,165$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.59 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 22c | 5,555$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.87 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…9989backed Yes | 77c | 5,189$4,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.47 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc9…ec4bbacked No | 8c | 4,924$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…8554backed No | 21c | 4,584$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.36 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +13.6wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 22c | 4,358$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.55 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f5…f507backed Yes | 77c | 4,306$3,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.86 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c97…4569backed No | 20c | 3,624$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 18c | 3,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0716…55e9backed No | 34c | 2,959$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d9…d6dbbacked No | 21c | 2,858$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.19 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 10c | 2,767$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.23 | 210 | 11.9%25 W · 185 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe652…d114backed No | 22c | 2,668$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.99 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…7cd3backed No | 21c | 2,662$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.34 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked Yes | 74c | 2,415$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.9 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ff…a454backed No | 16c | 2,100$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…3c6dbacked Yes | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf093…a4d3backed Yes | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5d…6be6backed Yes | 74c | 1,794$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.93 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 3c | 1,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…fe61backed Yes | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…78f5backed No | 19c | 1,470$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.18 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…dc8dbacked No | 21c | 1,460$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.51 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x740c…d013backed No | 21c | 1,458$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.99 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa656…2c73backed Yes | 72c | 1,400$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98dc…6ae4backed Yes | 80c | 1,381$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb34b…5d0ebacked No | 22c | 1,271$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.56 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…397dbacked No | 22c | 1,177$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7971…8dd0backed No | 23c | 1,145$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.21 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac3e…8150backed No | 21c | 1,094$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.78 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 23c | 1,093$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.91 | 390 | 34.4%134 W · 256 L | -33.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…11ffbacked No | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…6beabacked Yes | 79c | 1,030$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.8 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7db…6129backed No | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…9d74backed No | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Yes | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x627d…7d68backed No | 24c | 999.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0b…840abacked No | 21c | 999.96$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed No | 19c | 985.22$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.41 | 1,265 | 24.5%310 W · 955 L | -56.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…883abacked No | 15c | 981.7$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…6b11backed No | 20c | 899.15$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.26 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…4e8abacked No | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…28b1backed No | 23c | 831.38$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.93 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…00e6backed No | 26c | 800$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…8b3dbacked No | 22c | 726.37$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.6 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 21c | 717.22$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.79 | 97 | 9.3%9 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d5…1343backed Yes | 80c | 701.21$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.24 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 21c | 655$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.55 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed36…e096backed Yes | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd88…4037backed Yes | 76c | 639.77$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.54 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -42%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…3662backed No | 22c | 634.78$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed Yes | 80c | 612.23$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.09 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 25c | 600$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcda…c199backed Yes | 74c | 598.13$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.82 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…7457backed Yes | 76c | 589.99$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc31…7e2bbacked No | 24c | 547.25$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.34 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4f…4594backed No | 22c | 542.82$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.43 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e87…9a3fbacked No | 21c | 512.65$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed No | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…7b65backed Yes | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf505…7a35backed Yes | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +118.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…1c37backed No | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7806…ae3fbacked Yes | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…acbbbacked Yes | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 12c | 462.91$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.81 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…17adbacked No | 13c | 461.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.5wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…f2edbacked No | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked No | 24c | 444$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…e5adbacked No | 3c | 426.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x139e…9a26backed Yes | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5800…3401backed Yes | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…6dcbbacked Yes | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…1702backed Yes | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked No | 17c | 400$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed No | 22c | 400$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fc…0109backed Yes | 79c | 399.99$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked No | 13c | 392.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.09 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Yes | 76c | 392.78$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.27 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…f2c6backed Yes | 77c | 373.12$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55c0…6c7bbacked No | 11c | 355.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbba7…434cbacked No | 32c | 346.49$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.41 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca88…efb2backed Yes | 77c | 327.22$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.26 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…532abacked No | 26c | 311.07$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 11c | 309.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1835…6b92backed Yes | 75c | 299.17$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf2…c221backed No | 24c | 295.88$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.71 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.