Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f5818ceb3712f771cd0de79809f65965be7734db51f533eccd58953e0efacfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,239,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,365,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,239,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa19…2145backed Yes | 0c | 279,173$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 4c | 151,184$5,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,667.59 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 0c | 49,463$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.52 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 7c | 25,490$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.53 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x343f…d4dcbacked Yes | 0c | 20,639$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf669…9b8ebacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…9840backed Yes | 1c | 15,966$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.28 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe628…803dbacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…81e8backed Yes | 0c | 14,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c78…343abacked Yes | 0c | 14,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 3c | 13,226$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.67 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 11,990$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.54 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed Yes | 1c | 11,302$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.52 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 2c | 10,988$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.97 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.18 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7931…529cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…e87fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4213…67f5backed Yes | 0c | 6,828$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a33…3a4fbacked Yes | 2c | 6,244$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa543…13a1backed Yes | 2c | 6,234$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…7699backed Yes | 7c | 6,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…4ff6backed Yes | 2c | 5,359$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.84 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433a…38e5backed Yes | 8c | 4,595$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -42%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 9c | 4,522$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 1c | 4,408$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e7…ba4cbacked Yes | 2c | 4,106$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.26 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 5c | 3,542$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.78 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc445…19a9backed Yes | 0c | 3,020$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 2c | 3,000$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff99…5602backed Yes | 17c | 2,862$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1657…332bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,985$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed No | 25c | 1,940$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…008cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,836$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.89 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 1,650$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 4c | 1,477$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 1,326$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…1a39backed Yes | 8c | 1,225$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2425…3dd1backed Yes | 18c | 1,219$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef22…8c02backed Yes | 10c | 1,186$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.57 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ea…32abbacked Yes | 18c | 1,117$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.02 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 7c | 999.96$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…f8a5backed Yes | 9c | 977.77$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.11 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked No | 78c | 904.55$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.16 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…220ebacked Yes | 5c | 888$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4023…77c1backed Yes | 14c | 828$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576f…819abacked Yes | 12c | 627.77$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.96 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…d588backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef6…4daebacked Yes | 2c | 620.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a38…d6abbacked Yes | 10c | 600$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked Yes | 6c | 597.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…396abacked Yes | 18c | 555.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…dff6backed Yes | 8c | 548.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 14c | 458.15$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.92 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes | 7c | 450.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92ea…bdbdbacked Yes | 8c | 412.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…5c2abacked Yes | 9c | 398.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 17c | 393.35$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.27 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdac5…ae24backed No | 73c | 374.12$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.01 | 198 | 55.6%110 W · 88 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…6e5abacked Yes | 14c | 354.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fce…2566backed No | 73c | 335.14$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.25 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4453…6294backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Yes | 18c | 276.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a75…ff13backed Yes | 5c | 275.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb591…08f4backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd9…7d0fbacked Yes | 10c | 258.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…d701backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -46%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…33f3backed Yes | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fb…23a9backed Yes | 23c | 240.64$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e8…e94ebacked Yes | 10c | 230$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b00…4bb1backed Yes | 18c | 207.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21be…01c2backed Yes | 6c | 204.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1881…edd9backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7613…3e53backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9109…5095backed Yes | 24c | 199.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…6d52backed Yes | 13c | 197.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef7…7334backed Yes | 9c | 192.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb4…d47cbacked Yes | 10c | 185.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3960…0975backed Yes | 8c | 180$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x302e…00b6backed Yes | 19c | 170.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a86…f8e8backed Yes | 13c | 169.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd832…67e0backed Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3489…7fffbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 9c | 137.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 97 | 9.3%9 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d57…419cbacked Yes | 10c | 129.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6364…8316backed Yes | 11c | 127.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeafa…944abacked Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…8ee0backed Yes | 13c | 116.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…5af9backed Yes | 10c | 109.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6627…000cbacked Yes | 15c | 106.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a9…6d5ebacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b4…a38abacked Yes | 11c | 104$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0254…efdbbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b2…c884backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.