Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcf8705065711b7781de49a5effc37ec6b30e7f75e3e273036a69dc5d12bb4d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $498,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $410,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $498,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc01…d914backed No | 0c | 93,724$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.97 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +9.0wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8da5…f833backed No | 0c | 60,429$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d7…07dbbacked No | 0c | 39,864$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9342…949fbacked No | 0c | 31,730$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1024…9651backed No | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 13c | 27,713$3,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,615.72 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 78c | 11,278$8,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,472.59 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2de…ef3abacked No | 5c | 10,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55c0…6c7bbacked No | 0c | 9,228$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf115…ad6bbacked No | 13c | 8,856$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…9989backed Yes | 76c | 8,140$6,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.75 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76f5…f507backed No | 17c | 6,903$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.64 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed No | 27c | 6,430$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.52 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7efd…caedbacked No | 17c | 6,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1664…a0cebacked Yes | 76c | 5,683$4,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.18 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 23c | 5,276$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.63 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +7.5wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 24c | 5,024$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed No | 13c | 4,100$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…f015backed No | 7c | 3,700$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.99 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +20.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf70b…de8abacked Yes | 78c | 3,135$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…83f9backed No | 17c | 2,994$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.94 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 74c | 2,504$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.98 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 1c | 2,225$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 233 | 23.6%55 W · 178 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…4b43backed No | 21c | 2,045$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.04 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…65e5backed Yes | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6b…b960backed No | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 73c | 1,973$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.71 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd36b…3d32backed Yes | 76c | 1,500$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…fe61backed Yes | 75c | 1,500$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cd…c187backed No | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 75c | 1,168$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…7457backed Yes | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…df53backed Yes | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…c2b6backed No | 17c | 920.63$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.36 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd1…0e13backed Yes | 75c | 890.62$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed No | 12c | 882.15$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.83 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc009…ce41backed No | 22c | 876.35$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed No | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 4c | 819.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 210 | 11.9%25 W · 185 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…31c1backed Yes | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…3117backed Yes | 74c | 716.23$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 704$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0928…c61abacked Yes | 74c | 700$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 26c | 698.28$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.55 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 685$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48c7…e4b0backed No | 18c | 562.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5d…6be6backed Yes | 77c | 554.2$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.47 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6be6…fcdebacked Yes | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…78f5backed Yes | 74c | 537.26$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.26 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed No | 22c | 530.03$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…aa95backed Yes | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…f395backed No | 3c | 500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 82 | 4.9%4 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -68%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…185bbacked No | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae9…5f74backed Yes | 74c | 499.99$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…d449backed No | 26c | 488.38$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702c…b1e6backed No | 25c | 445.18$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.34 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf24c…32f4backed Yes | 75c | 443.57$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…fdc0backed Yes | 78c | 424$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 78c | 400.01$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.42 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…09c6backed No | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 8c | 380.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 10c | 332.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6d…76f5backed No | 28c | 320$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x381f…bc99backed Yes | 77c | 268.62$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed No | 9c | 262.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3326…afa1backed Yes | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 9c | 242.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Yes | 74c | 240$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…1b9bbacked Yes | 78c | 225.19$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.54 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 12c | 221.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 97 | 9.3%9 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…1708backed Yes | 74c | 215.61$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.61 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…28b1backed No | 13c | 214.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a3…e5afbacked No | 9c | 207.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…30f2backed No | 25c | 200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe31f…0d1dbacked No | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2642…0ee8backed No | 27c | 198.41$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ba…cf54backed Yes | 77c | 198$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa953…8bf7backed No | 26c | 197.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.26 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x132d…b771backed No | 17c | 195.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceae…2f49backed No | 11c | 195.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked No | 6c | 189.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 69 | 2.9%2 W · 67 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x366a…ebeabacked No | 16c | 185.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed No | 6c | 184.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 84 | 0%0 W · 84 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…cd3fbacked No | 26c | 183.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…0408backed No | 17c | 176.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 77c | 168.46$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…51dfbacked No | 11c | 162.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…bbb3backed No | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaaa…6783backed Yes | 73c | 146.38$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d7…11b2backed Yes | 75c | 143.04$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.76 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…afbbbacked Yes | 77c | 140$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a0…0036backed Yes | 76c | 130$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f59…09debacked Yes | 80c | 125.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad6…cc62backed Yes | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…556abacked No | 19c | 106.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9634…aae2backed Yes | 76c | 105.58$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff3…6d83backed No | 26c | 101.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.