TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6c37…d40f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
729
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: World Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 55 out of 100; worst AI at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1693.6%6 W · 163 L-0.8wins0.00per pick4cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 169 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.3
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.23
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.9
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+5,572.3%+$1,808.23
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.02
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.27
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.02
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+1,448.7%+$517.56
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.88
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.27
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.55
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.9
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.37
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.45
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.3
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
Showing 25 of 169 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1185.9%7 W · 111 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 118 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+2,602.7%+$288.9
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.09
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.18
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.27
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+1,160.5%+$276.2
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.8
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.91
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.05
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.39
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.17
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.33
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.79
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.16
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.19
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.31
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.47
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.3
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.1
Showing 25 of 118 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT790%0 W · 79 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.76
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.3
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.41
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.63
GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.91
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.97
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $37.5B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Anthropic CEO arrested?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.21
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.91
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.3
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.36
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.32
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.88
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.71
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.65
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.22
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.5
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.47
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.29
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.86
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.11
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT692.9%2 W · 67 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-64.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.29
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.27
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.74
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.35
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.3
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.33
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.01
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.59
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+1,370.8%+$139.61
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.98
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.9
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+900%+$90
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.6
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.65
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT590%0 W · 59 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $110 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.9
Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.17
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.82
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.97
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.01
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 4-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.76
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 27-May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.47
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.47
Will Solana reach $100 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Solana reach $110 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.51
Will Solana reach $120 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.89
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.02
Will Solana dip to $50 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.87
Will Solana dip to $70 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.3
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.31
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.6
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.28
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.23
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT4211.9%5 W · 37 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick5cpaid+59.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.79
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.47
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.1
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.58
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.2
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.09
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.22
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.73
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.63
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.19
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.72
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.9
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+1,382.3%+$1,063.94
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+1,280%+$581.75
Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.89
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+900%+$134.05
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$184
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.45
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT400%0 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.82
Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.27
Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.57
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.15
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.55
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.43
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.1
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.91
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.31
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.92
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.1
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.15
USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.9
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.19
Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.93
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT300%0 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.74
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.36
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.07
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.26
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.62
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.23
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.34
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.55
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.57
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.82
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.06
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.95
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.11
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.48
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.73
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.4
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$209
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.43
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.97
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.19
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.88
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.6
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT280%0 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.97
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.48
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.76
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.09
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.81
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.7
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.64
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.14
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.9
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.9
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.78
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.3
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.73
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.35
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.59
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.14
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.46
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.21
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.13
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT224.5%1 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+247.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.51
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.17
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.61
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.77
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.04
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.24
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.11
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.07
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.39
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.02
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.32
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.61
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.86
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.86
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.88
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+7,549.7%+$3,331.34
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.75
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.63
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
All 22 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT180%0 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.67
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.3
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.97
Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.55
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.56
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 10m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will "Reminders of Him" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.16
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.78
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.94
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.12
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.69
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.64
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT1513.3%2 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick4cpaid+97.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.03
Will Trump and Putin not meet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.08
Will Putin visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+1,769%+$4,745.63
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+987%+$908
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.07
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.74
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.67
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Russia enter Dovha Balka by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.07
Will Brazil join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.75
All 15 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.93
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.72
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.36
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.74
Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.71
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.52
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.23
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick4cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.3
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.09
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.03
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.94
All 8 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.