AI · resolved market
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79afea6a94f0b3dffb5e0886fa1dbd740d688029f7aba351dc46911bcb1b1f95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,002,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,695,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,002,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,706 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80c6…3e50backed No | 4c | 509,004$18,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,773.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…ab2fbacked No | 6c | 443,519$28,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,538.48 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 6c | 68,135$3,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,791.11 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4f41backed Yes | 78c | 52,438$40,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,759.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3f…ac90backed No | 9c | 43,877$3,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,884.25 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 5c | 41,644$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.7 | 63 | 4.8%3 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked No | 2c | 37,540$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.45 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…de86backed No | 16c | 27,627$4,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,432.36 | 88 | 15.9%14 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 13c | 23,766$3,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,104.82 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb187…44a9backed Yes | 78c | 22,784$17,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,924.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd311…61b4backed No | 3c | 22,765$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.01 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1327…0119backed No | 12c | 17,776$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e78…3945backed Yes | 80c | 16,990$13,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,398.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb24c…eefebacked No | 14c | 15,927$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 17c | 13,637$2,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,314.6 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 16c | 13,331$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.75 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed No | 37c | 13,241$4,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,850.99 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f21…b935backed No | 8c | 12,919$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…f2d4backed No | 8c | 12,000$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 6c | 11,206$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.65 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Yes | 72c | 10,739$7,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,047.41 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…6e0fbacked No | 18c | 10,564$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 77c | 10,161$7,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311.38 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab0c…371cbacked No | 13c | 10,147$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…84bfbacked Yes | 77c | 10,000$7,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320.63 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 4c | 9,551$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.3 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…19dcbacked No | 7c | 9,038$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…4675backed No | 8c | 8,985$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.42 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…a8aebacked No | 16c | 8,733$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.6 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf35a…2c15backed Yes | 78c | 8,481$6,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 6c | 8,339$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.69 | 149 | 1.3%2 W · 147 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 6c | 8,334$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.19 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 7c | 8,284$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.71 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…f429backed No | 6c | 8,197$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa81a…216bbacked Yes | 76c | 8,182$6,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…f68dbacked No | 30c | 7,564$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.11 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 29c | 7,341$2,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,148.72 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa816…305abacked No | 7c | 7,018$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed Yes | 65c | 6,417$4,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.13 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e46…24debacked Yes | 78c | 6,413$5,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.25 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked No | 6c | 6,151$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.21 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 79c | 6,037$4,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.62 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 74c | 5,937$4,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.79 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…bd65backed No | 3c | 5,862$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.72 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…0b52backed No | 30c | 5,668$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed No | 5c | 5,486$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.93 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee6…829cbacked Yes | 68c | 5,083$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed No | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 4,966$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.58 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked No | 4c | 4,861$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.91 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 3cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed No | 2c | 4,632$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.42 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb9…bdd4backed Yes | 75c | 4,527$3,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 15c | 4,326$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.63 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…5fb0backed Yes | 63c | 4,322$2,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.16 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…cc26backed No | 8c | 4,280$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…5a97backed Yes | 79c | 4,275$3,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c01…797dbacked No | 10c | 4,247$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1232…6158backed No | 2c | 4,028$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 9c | 4,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 114 | 25.4%29 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…b56abacked Yes | 75c | 3,970$2,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 8c | 3,913$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.63 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…1f80backed No | 35c | 3,800$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…caaabacked Yes | 66c | 3,622$2,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94cc…1df5backed No | 9c | 3,612$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 67c | 3,558$2,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…fe1abacked No | 6c | 3,473$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked Yes | 58c | 3,461$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.96 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b91…982dbacked No | 7c | 3,284$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.83 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 4c | 3,200$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed No | 49c | 3,176$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.74 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked No | 0c | 3,149$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…9dc0backed Yes | 78c | 2,841$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…e86dbacked No | 14c | 2,821$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 53c | 2,816$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.53 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed No | 2c | 2,700$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 200 | 3.5%7 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ca…198bbacked Yes | 72c | 2,689$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.94 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe640…0bf0backed Yes | 71c | 2,682$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked Yes | 52c | 2,679$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.62 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed No | 9c | 2,658$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…397dbacked Yes | 70c | 2,566$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.87 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9652…d0a0backed Yes | 79c | 2,540$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.45 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked Yes | 58c | 2,523$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed No | 29c | 2,502$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3731…9afcbacked Yes | 69c | 2,422$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…c658backed No | 18c | 2,401$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.05 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…7d33backed Yes | 64c | 2,259$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.54 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…d896backed Yes | 78c | 2,244$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.61 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb73e…7204backed Yes | 71c | 2,244$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Yes | 79c | 2,234$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.17 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb837…38dbbacked No | 33c | 2,214$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 30c | 2,197$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.83 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1424…1edebacked Yes | 80c | 2,162$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c99…0a54backed Yes | 63c | 2,162$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2e…220dbacked Yes | 65c | 2,148$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 6c | 2,098$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.38 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c26…1432backed Yes | 72c | 2,090$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd7…732abacked Yes | 73c | 2,072$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413a…0008backed No | 20c | 2,020$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9935…ff83backed No | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a65…0143backed Yes | 62c | 1,954$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?this page
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No won
- Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No won
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No won
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No won
- Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No won
- Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.