AI · resolved market
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x416242cc0757f9d4aefdfe86893cea90610b3d0928c60e09416e717db7e9f0f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,496,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,674,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,496,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 870 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4181…de86backed Yes | 7c | 146,293$10,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,281.85 | 88 | 15.9%14 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd311…61b4backed Yes | 1c | 91,475$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.45 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6302…7917backed Yes | 11c | 72,433$8,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,328.46 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe917…9612backed Yes | 11c | 71,315$7,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,842.6 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4e…d0c6backed Yes | 4c | 55,694$2,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,281 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4e…5502backed Yes | 0c | 39,999$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6799…1047backed Yes | 4c | 39,163$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 5c | 38,182$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 28,966$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 292 | 0.3%1 W · 291 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 3c | 28,201$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.47 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 22c | 28,135$6,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,282.37 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5d…1aaabacked Yes | 4c | 27,367$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeadf…26efbacked Yes | 20c | 24,157$4,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,877.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 0c | 23,806$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.61 | 200 | 3.5%7 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…a8aebacked Yes | 7c | 21,351$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.06 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 2c | 20,052$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.65 | 63 | 4.8%3 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80c6…3e50backed Yes | 1c | 19,148$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…ab2fbacked Yes | 7c | 17,895$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.11 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x207d…52d7backed Yes | 28c | 17,505$4,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,901.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa3…1f6ebacked Yes | 28c | 17,284$4,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,839.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 3c | 17,283$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.44 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes | 26c | 14,602$3,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,819.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x469c…309bbacked Yes | 4c | 13,500$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 13,032$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed Yes | 22c | 12,871$2,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,832.93 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b3…9989backed Yes | 4c | 12,600$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 4cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa816…305abacked Yes | 5c | 12,289$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f2…f5e0backed Yes | 22c | 12,260$2,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,721.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ae…8367backed Yes | 25c | 11,950$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426e…1bd3backed Yes | 22c | 11,950$2,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,672.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…8557backed Yes | 22c | 11,864$2,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,645.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 6c | 11,650$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.25 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 11,100$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.71 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d1…14aabacked Yes | 29c | 10,665$3,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,076.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…5d92backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…4069backed Yes | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab18…a380backed Yes | 28c | 9,850$2,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94cc…1df5backed Yes | 4c | 9,537$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 9c | 9,394$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2015…3fbfbacked Yes | 8c | 9,147$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.93 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…a652backed Yes | 25c | 9,077$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…968ebacked Yes | 21c | 9,015$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23a7…ce7ebacked Yes | 25c | 8,880$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…9810backed Yes | 3c | 8,557$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb24c…eefebacked Yes | 12c | 8,129$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 8,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 3c | 7,927$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.32 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 1c | 7,029$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.59 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 5c | 6,956$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…9d74backed Yes | 8c | 6,879$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 12c | 6,847$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.25 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b2…62f5backed Yes | 11c | 6,009$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5669…0f13backed Yes | 11c | 6,004$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.34 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ff…4a0abacked No | 72c | 5,900$4,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…b34dbacked No | 72c | 5,870$4,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3857…2b7dbacked No | 72c | 5,850$4,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 2c | 5,807$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.91 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6621…96e4backed No | 72c | 5,785$4,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…ed4cbacked No | 72c | 5,784$4,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 5,783$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.28 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf083…e3ccbacked No | 72c | 5,600$4,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9526…2025backed Yes | 3c | 5,478$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 2c | 5,400$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.7 | 81 | 1.2%1 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed Yes | 32c | 5,220$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked Yes | 13c | 5,215$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.64 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes | 38c | 5,209$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.8 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c5…dbcfbacked Yes | 28c | 5,000$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafc2…4476backed Yes | 18c | 5,000$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 20c | 4,777$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9a…a56fbacked Yes | 11c | 4,761$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 11c | 4,718$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.42 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89b…3c2bbacked Yes | 7c | 4,706$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5334…d023backed Yes | 8c | 4,676$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa605…6cddbacked Yes | 20c | 4,637$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…1386backed Yes | 14c | 4,525$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f0…dc7abacked Yes | 2c | 4,449$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x736e…c766backed Yes | 5c | 4,419$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 13c | 4,336$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.32 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 3c | 4,296$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 4c | 4,244$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.3 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 11c | 4,233$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.76 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x921d…efb8backed Yes | 13c | 4,161$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…8733backed Yes | 4c | 4,000$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.24 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 21cpaid | -76%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…145cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,999$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +135.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cc…b5a4backed Yes | 3c | 3,999$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.83 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bed…621cbacked Yes | 10c | 3,947$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e57…84a5backed Yes | 38c | 3,947$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed Yes | 19c | 3,909$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.76 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3855…4a80backed No | 72c | 3,800$2,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387d…a7b9backed Yes | 7c | 3,759$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0770…4986backed No | 78c | 3,730$2,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 1c | 3,704$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 70 | 0%0 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 7c | 3,682$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.64 | 149 | 1.3%2 W · 147 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f4…0c4cbacked Yes | 7c | 3,677$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 3c | 3,536$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.26 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…9ddbbacked Yes | 0c | 3,528$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…0901backed No | 78c | 3,500$2,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9890…fa33backed Yes | 29c | 3,444$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaf…7affbacked Yes | 4c | 3,380$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.96 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…2b00backed No | 78c | 3,355$2,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?this page
- Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No won
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No won
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No won
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes won
- Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No won
- Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.