TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6590…3a26

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
382
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 52 out of 100; worst Weather at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2290%0 W · 229 L-0.3wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 229 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will XRP reach $2.20 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.98
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.28
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.47
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.43
Will XRP reach $2.40 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will XRP dip to $0.60 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.98
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.51
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Solana reach $160 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.04
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.13
Will Solana dip to $40 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Solana dip to $40 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.27
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.96
Showing 25 of 229 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT580%0 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.65
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.21
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.74
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.5
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$17.86
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$17.78
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Grok be the next CEO of X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Claude 5 be released by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.61
Will Oracle be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$15.32
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$33.86
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$21.1
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$35.43
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$18.87
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$19.5
Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$14.87
Will Moonshot have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$18.53
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT392.6%1 W · 38 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-94.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.47
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Elon tweet 140–154 times May 30–June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.42
Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.72
Will Elon tweet 100–124 times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.06
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times April 25–May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Elon tweet 100–124 times April 25–May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.24
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times April 25–May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.04
Will Elon tweet 400 or more times April 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.67
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times April 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.31
Will Elon tweet 100–124 times April 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.05
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times April 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.45
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.06
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.12
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.96
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.57
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.45
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.19
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.27
Will Elon tweet 600-624 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.71
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.78
Will Elon tweet 525-549 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.71
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT190%0 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Will Aztec launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11.02
Will StandX launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$155.99
Lighter Airdrop on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Lighter Airdrop on December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Lighter Airdrop on December 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Lighter Airdrop on December 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$12.31
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $400M and $600M?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$14.5
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$13.76
Over $15M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$13.33
All 19 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick12cpaid-64%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.16
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.7
Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$17.5
Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.0–44.4% on September 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.0–44.4% on July 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.66
Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.0–44.4% on July 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+37.6%+$5.92
Will Elon call Trump a "pedophile" by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.94
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick7cpaid-81.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yoon arrested by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be between 70-71°F on August 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.