Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc4af0ceb87fd172d0ce8313a7b155b8a6ed43b9cb71443352e70fd7c10e6352
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $835,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $608,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $835,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d11…3d1abacked Yes | 0c | 54,521$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.61 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 32,578$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 0c | 22,639$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…58b0backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 14,000$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.69 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4e…7196backed Yes | 3c | 12,379$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.3 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 0c | 11,329$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 129 | 10.9%14 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…c780backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 0c | 7,472$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 73 | 6.8%5 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 7,162$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e57…53b3backed Yes | 3c | 7,159$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd753…23fdbacked Yes | 1c | 7,070$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09a9…ff44backed Yes | 1c | 7,065$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca84…a500backed Yes | 1c | 7,065$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…6d8abacked Yes | 1c | 7,040$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8b…856ebacked Yes | 0c | 7,034$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc3…3e38backed Yes | 3c | 6,857$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 1c | 6,509$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78cf…d4f0backed Yes | 0c | 5,910$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…1e9dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,843$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2c…f036backed Yes | 1c | 5,030$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…d168backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 4c | 4,300$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.36 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b9…198cbacked Yes | 0c | 3,148$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed Yes | 6c | 3,136$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 94 | 26.6%25 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…8da0backed Yes | 1c | 2,965$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 0c | 2,916$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 80 | 15%12 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3a…deaabacked Yes | 3c | 2,912$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…be8dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,738$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed Yes | 2c | 2,600$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5caf…5470backed Yes | 2c | 2,472$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -91.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…c544backed Yes | 1c | 2,345$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee3d…501bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,275$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Yes | 2c | 2,208$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Yes | 13c | 2,049$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.87 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x543f…9dafbacked Yes | 4c | 1,999$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.56 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 7c | 1,898$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6010…aa9cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,856$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd26…fc76backed Yes | 14c | 1,764$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,545$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…19d8backed Yes | 7c | 1,531$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…2a89backed Yes | 13c | 1,372$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.38 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb0backed Yes | 4c | 1,350$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 7c | 1,282$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.89 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…5ce5backed Yes | 14c | 1,062$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…0d88backed Yes | 11c | 1,062$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.37 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.95 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd789…49c6backed Yes | 1c | 950.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…a067backed Yes | 3c | 943.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 3c | 931.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ba…dbc7backed Yes | 14c | 899.98$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.4 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…d7d4backed Yes | 3c | 879.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b16…45e7backed Yes | 2c | 876.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaceb…048dbacked Yes | 4c | 852$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…39b8backed Yes | 7c | 817.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe469…4016backed Yes | 17c | 774$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…e62abacked Yes | 14c | 726.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9a…3b6abacked Yes | 4c | 722$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…d07ebacked Yes | 3c | 700$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…94dcbacked Yes | 3c | 697$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a39…a5d0backed Yes | 3c | 618$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 14c | 600.47$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 88 | 20.5%18 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…0cc5backed Yes | 2c | 595.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe348…8ca4backed Yes | 4c | 592.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 3c | 588.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3813…4aeabacked Yes | 2c | 568$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1024…9c39backed Yes | 4c | 555$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x619a…c599backed Yes | 3c | 550.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb33…c3d6backed Yes | 6c | 518.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…f255backed Yes | 2c | 517$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…003bbacked Yes | 3c | 511$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…8281backed Yes | 3c | 510$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4342…b657backed Yes | 4c | 504.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes | 3c | 500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 88 | 23.9%21 W · 67 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…cf6dbacked Yes | 15c | 500$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2db…d5b7backed Yes | 7c | 493.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…13b9backed Yes | 15c | 491.95$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.69 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8706…e09cbacked Yes | 3c | 489$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce82…cdf1backed Yes | 2c | 476$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…7f0ebacked Yes | 3c | 461$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…aaf1backed Yes | 4c | 454.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72b8…01eebacked Yes | 3c | 453$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1419…6f20backed Yes | 2c | 453$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…b4d7backed Yes | 3c | 443$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc96…476cbacked Yes | 4c | 440$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7061…110cbacked Yes | 4c | 436$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9666…5efcbacked Yes | 2c | 435.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14d0…3bc8backed Yes | 4c | 431$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0f…8cb2backed Yes | 3c | 413$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 3c | 409.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1b…0163backed Yes | 3c | 396$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…0efbbacked Yes | 3c | 380$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c4…14f4backed Yes | 3c | 349$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78c0…04c9backed Yes | 4c | 345$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf2…d9acbacked Yes | 3c | 338$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d48…e34dbacked Yes | 3c | 332.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…1ecebacked Yes | 6c | 331$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 9c | 324.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c05…b615backed Yes | 5c | 320$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb21…51bebacked Yes | 16c | 315.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?this page
- Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.