TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x66a1…80d9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,227
Categories scored
40
Categories below 50
27

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Weather at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1976.6%13 W · 184 L-0.8wins0.00per pick7cpaid-27.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 197 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.01
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.05
Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+936.9%+$310.52
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.56
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+930.9%+$180.6
Will Jared Kushner enter Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.64
Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.82
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.28
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.09
Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.7
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.59
Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.97
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.57
Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+115.3%+$570.54
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.27
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.37
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+101.5%+$50.16
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Showing 25 of 197 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1358.1%11 W · 124 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 135 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$12.22
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.35
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after August 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.62
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.35
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.2
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21
Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.57
Will James Cleverly be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+263.1%+$331.5
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.39
Will Boris Johnson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
Will Robert Jenrick be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.02
Will Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.42
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.6
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.7
Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.74
Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.06
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.42
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.77
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.42
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.02
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.9
Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.4
Showing 25 of 135 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT956.3%6 W · 89 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick10cpaid+21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.95
Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.8
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.53
Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+1,980.7%+$648.38
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.12
Will Silver (SI) settle at $100-$115 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.56
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.79
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.12
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.08
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.53
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.91
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.46
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.58
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.83
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.39
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.8
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT836%5 W · 78 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-65.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.45
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.63
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.6
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before September 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.16
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.55
Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.78
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.79
Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.86
Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.36
Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.19
Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.75
Will Waymo operate in 7 cities on June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.04
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$182
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.15
Will Waymo launch in New York City by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.84
Will Waymo launch in Washington DC by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.11
Anthropic CEO arrested?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.85
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.33
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.25
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.21
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.88
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT8015%12 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-54.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SAVE America Act becomes law by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.29
Les Wexner charged by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.16
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.52
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.72
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.28
Will the DHS shutdown end after July 31 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 28-31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.84
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.68
Bill Clinton charged by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.53
Les Wexner arrested by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.27
Trump out as President by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.08
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 20-23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.97
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.92
Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.55
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.36
Will Tulsi Gabbard be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$22.2
Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$29.85
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Bill Clinton in jail by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.56
Bill Clinton charged by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.33
Will Alec Baldwin be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Jamie Dimon be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$18.08
Will Anderson Cooper be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+139.5%+$67.29
Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+172.3%+$17.63
Will Alan Dershowitz be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$13.92
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT7915.2%12 W · 67 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick8cpaid+0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$35.21
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.93
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+125.5%+$308.26
Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.66
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+389.9%+$138.88
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.34
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+402.1%+$121.55
Will Mike Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.19
Will Ime Udoka win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.36
Will Darko Rajakovic win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.85
Will Erik Spoelstra win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.52
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.87
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Will Bennedict Mathurin win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.27
Will Josh Giddey win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.49
Will Stephen Curry win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.59
Will Kevin Durant win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.76
Will Andrew Nembhard win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.12
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.82
Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.97
Will Reed Sheppard win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.28
Will Evan Mobley win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.29
Will Onyeka Okongwu win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.15
Will Naz Reid win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Will Jordan Clarkson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.22
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT7121.1%15 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-33.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+263.6%+$29
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+220.9%+$41.3
Will anyone say "Energy" during Big Brother E10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will anyone say "Camera" during Big Brother E10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will anyone say "Council" during House of the Dragon E6 S3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.17
Will anyone say "War" 8+ times during House of the Dragon E6 S3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will anyone say "Dragon" 20+ times during House of the Dragon E6 S3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
Will Rihanna be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Project Hail Mary be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.13
Will "ONE PIECE: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.09
Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+94.4%+$121.87
Will Sinners win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.05
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.74
Will Marty Supreme win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will "Hamnet" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.8
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.1
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.4
Will Elle Fanning win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+1,218.2%+$591.45
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.24
Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 8m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.11
Will Chase Infiniti win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.99
Will Ariana Grande win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+37.9%+$33
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT646.3%4 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick10cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sydney Gruters be the FL-16 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will John Rutherford be the FL-05 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.51
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.42
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+1,016.4%+$127.46
Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.29
Will Chaz Molder be the TN-05 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Will Scott DesJarlais be the TN-04 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Andy Levin be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.1
Will Shannon Taylor be the VA-01 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Jay Clayton confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will Elizabeth Lee be the AZ-05 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.1
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.78
Will Scott Bottoms win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.08
Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.37
Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
Will Kathy Hochul win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Adrian Boafo be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.02
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT5810.3%6 W · 52 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-33.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.35
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.85
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.91
Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.45
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.94
Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.49
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.45
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.08
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.92
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+1,089%+$1,740.2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+907%+$1,891.46
Will Denmark join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Norway join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.26
Will Switzerland join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Finland join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.93
Will Spain join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.28
Will China join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.51
Will the U.K. join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.02
Will the Netherlands join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Will France join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.86
Will Sweden join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.88
Will Palestine join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT4610.9%5 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$26.53
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$17.06
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.25
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 1 to January 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$22.2
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.9
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+91.9%+$23.95
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+1,927%+$570.4
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$36.5
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.7
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.37
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+280.5%+$178.29
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.23
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.97
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.53
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.43
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.34
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.1
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT378.1%3 W · 34 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick3cpaid+225.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+1,136.6%+$5,164.96
Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.35
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.82
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be between 8% and 10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.45
Will Netflix reach $140 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.84
Will Meta reach $750 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$11.96
Will Amazon (AMZN) hit $275 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.15
Will Amazon (AMZN) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.25
Will Nvidia (NVDA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.52
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $440–460 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$15.85
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $290–295 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$28.88
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $265–270 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$36.96
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $275–280 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$61.61
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $280–285 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Will Tesla (TSLA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+700%+$87.5
Will Opendoor reach $13 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Opendoor dip to $5 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+9,900%+$990
Will Palantir reach $210 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Palantir reach $264 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Apple (AAPL) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$26.52
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) close at $52-$54 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10.69
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) close at $50-$52 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$17.5
Will Palantir dip to $156 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Rocket Lab dip to $44 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Palantir dip to $168 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT362.8%1 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-74.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.51
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.31
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.83
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.98
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.46
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$448.42
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$363
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 30 and June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.17
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.7
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.81
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.8
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.79
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.5% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.91
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+824.2%+$144.88
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.4
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$172.92
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.3% by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.92
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.98
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$59.59
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT368.3%3 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.14per pick23cpaid-77.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Weather — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.95
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.9
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.34
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.08
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.05
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.08
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.75
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+152.6%+$40.97
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.28
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.45
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.42
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.71
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.08
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.33
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.19
US confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.62
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.27
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT300%0 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.25
Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.09
Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be $400B or greater at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.34
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.3
Will Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.38
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.99
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.18
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.81
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.97
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.4
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.6
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.64
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.5
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.88
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.12
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.4
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.43
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in August 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.46
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.9
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.38
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT280%0 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wayne Rooney attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.51
Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.75
Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.42
Will Diogo Dalot attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.92
Will Drake attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.14
Will Luan Santana attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.03
Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.01
Will Casemiro attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.3
Will Leonardo Bonucci attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.88
Will Jorge Jesus attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
Will Karim Benzema attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.74
Will Rio Ferdinand attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.6
Will Nininho Vaz Maia attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.73
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
Will Luka Modric attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.02
Will Gareth Bale attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.56
Will Piers Morgan attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.74
Will Giorgio Chiellini attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.37
Will Dana White attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.76
Will Mohammed bin Salman attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.49
Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.49
Will m0NESY attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.19
Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.92
Will Paulo Dybala attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.16
Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT1910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick6cpaid-19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Earrings - Malcolm Todd" be the #2 US song this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.68
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
Will North West release an album by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.67
Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be at least 200k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$13.31
Will Bruno Mars be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11.6
Will Ariana Grande be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$14.5
Will The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+1,193.1%+$119.95
Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$12.9
Will KPop Demon Hunters (Soundtrack from the Netflix Film) by KPop Demon Hunters Cast be the top Spotify album for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$17.15
Will The Weeknd be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10.42
Will Bad Bunny be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$12.03
Will Justin Bieber be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$13.32
Will Trump pardon Diddy by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.97
Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.47
D4vd arrested by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$55.1
Will Belarus win Intervision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.11
Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.3
All 19 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+98.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.49
Will USD.AI launch a token by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.05
Will Solstice launch a token by March 31 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+1,450.3%+$253.52
Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$41.5
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Sentient FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20.83
Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+33.5%+$34.24
Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$18.5
Will ETHGAS launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+73.4%+$18.32
Will Solstice launch a token by December 31 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.37
Lighter FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$13.9
Lighter Airdrop on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$75.8
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$43.6
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+1,453.2%+$2,287.56
Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$71.07
Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.88
Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.34
All 18 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.32
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$88.99
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$43.4
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.6
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$27.4
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.6
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$14.91
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$30.29
Odds of Maduro out in 2025 Over 25% by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$19.84
Odds of Maduro out in 2025 Under 15% by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$24.25
Odds of US x Venezuela Military Engagement in 2025 Under 40% by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$18.5
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$30.5
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.25
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.1
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.25
All 18 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick7cpaid+69.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Joe Burrow traded to the Jets?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.39
Josh Allen x Hailee Steinfeld baby: Boy or Girl?backed Boy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.91
Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.61
Will Jim Harbaugh be fired by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.96
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+663.4%+$86.9
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$115.67
Will Mike McCoy be fired by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.48
Will Mike Tomlin be fired by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+591.4%+$489.59
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$52.98
Will Pete Carroll be fired by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
Will the Green Bay Packers make the playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10.65
Will the San Francisco 49ers make the playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15.73
Will A.J. Brown be traded before the 2025 NFL trade deadlinebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$11.84
Will Jaelan Phillips be traded before the 2025 NFL trade deadlinebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$14.82
Will Micah Parsons leave the Cowboys before Week 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+981.6%+$110.72
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT130%0 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.44
Will Alabama win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.51
Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.9
Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.33
Will UCLA win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.69
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Gonzaga win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.69
Will Louisville win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.52
Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.98
LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked LIU Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
Will BYU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.46
Howard Bison vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.19
All 13 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x China tariff agreement by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.92
Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.8
Will Meta acquire TikTok?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.98
Will Amazon acquire TikTok?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.32
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.15
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.67
Will the People's Bank of China not change rates in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.66
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.34
China x Philippines military clash by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.2
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.3
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.97
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick8cpaid-47.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick6cpaid+140.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Poker — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.92
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Level UP to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+450%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+450%+$90
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2025 WTA Korea Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UnitedHealth Group (UNH) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.