Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d6221450862c69f69e9b278a9119fc3e11f1c794650f7cddf283d4adefeee20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e40…7a62backed Yes | 51c | 8,010$4,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,923.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…f860backed Yes | 52c | 8,010$4,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,844.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1443backed Yes | 51c | 7,450$3,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,650.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…8055backed Yes | 49c | 7,450$3,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…8c5bbacked No | 51c | 7,450$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…f6b7backed No | 51c | 7,450$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0d…e1b0backed Yes | 49c | 7,080$3,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,610.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f6…1016backed Yes | 49c | 7,080$3,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,610.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…5320backed No | 51c | 7,080$3,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,610.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d6…bd0bbacked No | 51c | 7,080$3,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,610.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32b…626ebacked No | 13c | 5,769$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.02 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0de2…a76abacked No | 49c | 4,057$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2673…1a18backed No | 49c | 4,057$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…9e9abacked No | 48c | 3,953$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc0…d6e0backed No | 49c | 3,953$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa696…1d24backed No | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Yes | 78c | 1,911$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.38 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 77cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…2385backed No | 11c | 1,018$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.95 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…0179backed No | 12c | 999.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…928fbacked No | 13c | 919.09$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.48 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 9c | 898.68$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.65 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c1…cacebacked No | 11c | 851.83$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0a…43bcbacked No | 18c | 650$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 30c | 641.99$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.63 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80e5…2418backed No | 11c | 636.07$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccf…79fbbacked No | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…eda5backed No | 15c | 499.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 55c | 499.96$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.98 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 52c | 444.72$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.45 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 41c | 425.6$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.8 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 71c | 420.89$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.49 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 13c | 400$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…525fbacked Yes | 78c | 382.16$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.08 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 25c | 356$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.22 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…1362backed Yes | 63c | 354.08$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.56 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 32c | 349.64$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.91 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f48…e69bbacked No | 30c | 335.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 10c | 299.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 9c | 284.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 18c | 266$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 98 | 19.4%19 W · 79 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked No | 22c | 259.44$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 61c | 245$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.81 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…bbd7backed Yes | 77c | 241.22$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 6c | 240$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf347…346abacked Yes | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 41c | 192$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd90f…b6dabacked No | 43c | 191.22$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 26c | 187.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 123 | 30.9%38 W · 85 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 10c | 180.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 28c | 180.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 29c | 180$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32c5…2d63backed Yes | 61c | 176.5$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27da…d24abacked No | 10c | 163$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2db…ffcbbacked Yes | 77c | 159.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…ef60backed No | 17c | 153.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 35c | 152.07$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 21c | 150.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 90 | 10%9 W · 81 L | -20.0wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7e89…8946backed Yes | 80c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f6…2a5dbacked No | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…9e4bbacked No | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ff…9182backed Yes | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…bbb3backed No | 16c | 149.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed No | 12c | 149.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 64 | 6.3%4 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bf…45bdbacked Yes | 56c | 147.9$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.59 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 18c | 143.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 12c | 138.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2191…628ebacked No | 24c | 135.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…3c1abacked Yes | 56c | 130$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 24c | 128.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed No | 10c | 125.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf3…4e4fbacked Yes | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 18c | 118.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 67c | 112$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…d0e2backed Yes | 66c | 110.08$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…ecf3backed No | 43c | 103$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea6…180dbacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…a085backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…922bbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -44%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3898…ea1fbacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1127…36febacked No | 23c | 99.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc4…a38dbacked Yes | 63c | 97$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Yes | 57c | 87.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 63c | 77.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 31c | 77.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 160 | 20.6%33 W · 127 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 73c | 77.6$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…ad4bbacked No | 55c | 77.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 57c | 76$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb477…673ebacked Yes | 73c | 61.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd3…1a5abacked Yes | 58c | 61.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…ce0bbacked No | 36c | 60.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 45c | 58.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…cc69backed No | 25c | 57.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…3431backed No | 18c | 56.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…9797backed No | 30c | 55.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 37c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -10.6wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 48c | 54.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 41c | 53.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?this page
- Will Carl Brunner win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Christopher Bouchat win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will John Myrick win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Kurt Wedekind win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Larry Hogan win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Steve Hershey win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.