TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe7fe…24e5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
333
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT8326.5%22 W · 61 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GamerLegion make a roster change before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.34
Will HEROIC make a roster change before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.47
Will The Mongolz Make a Roster Change before September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Will 100T make a roster change before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.43
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+134.7%+$143.5
Will Aurora make a roster change before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$817Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$739.27
Will The MongolZ make a roster change before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+74.5%+$156.19
FaZe roster change Before GTA VI?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Bbacked Esport Academy Copenhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will PARIVISION make a roster change before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$325.85
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.11
Will FUT qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.74
Will BetBoom qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$93.6
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Will Vitality drop from #1 in the VRS rankings by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.05
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group Dbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+225.3%+$42.26
Will 9z qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.06
Will Astralis qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.33
Will FUT qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.37
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT6434.4%22 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
Will there be no next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$510
Will there be no next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.14
Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.33
Will Ed Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.59
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.11
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.52
Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.34
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+219%+$649.94
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.77
Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.62
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.71
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.82
Will Iván Cepeda win between 40% and 45% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.2
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win between 30% and 35% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.09
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win between 35% and 40% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.63
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$156
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$580.06
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.81
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+312.1%+$1,428.38
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$408.78
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15%+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.22
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,113.89
Will Paloma Valencia win between 10% and 15% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.2
Will Paloma Valencia win between 15% and 20% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.12
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5238.5%20 W · 32 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Will 8+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$39
Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$126
Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Will Canada be the worst-placed host nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.4
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.99
Will Austria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
World Cup Goals H2H: Salah vs. Manebacked Salah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$17.2
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Kylian Mbappe score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.48
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will Argentina be the highest-scoring team in Group J during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will Tunisia be the worst-placed African nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+154.1%+$94.46
Will Uzbekistan be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will DR Congo finish last in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.79
Will DR Congo be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.56
Will Panama be the furthest advancing CONCACAF nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will England be the highest-scoring team in Group L during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+34%+$26.38
Will Uruguay (16) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+213.6%+$33.85
Will Curaçao be the worst-placed Central American nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.96
Will New Zealand finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
Will Senegal (15) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.9
Will New Zealand concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT4339.5%17 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.67
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.95
Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.19
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.33
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.43
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 Cloud Revenue be above $23B?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 Cloud Revenue be above $23.5B?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+590.8%+$133.71
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 Cloud Revenue be above $22.5B?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+63.5%+$68.75
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$9.3
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$13.6
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+121.8%+$134
Will Claude go down 3-5 times in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.05
Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+162.8%+$206.79
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.15
Will GPT-Bidi-1 be released by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$193.43
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$40.33
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$45.79
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.13
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT4030%12 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+124.2%+$140.09
Will Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$67.09
Will Scott Singer be the FL-25 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Will Dan Franzese be the FL-25 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$134
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.88
Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Jordan Herrera be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.95
Will Callie Barr be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$125.74
Will Matt Boehnke advance to the general election for WA-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+80.9%+$168.27
Will Jason Knapp be the VA-01 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Phil Weiser win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by 10–15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+412.4%+$97.47
Will Phil Weiser win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by less than 5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.57
Will Melat Kiros win the CO-01 Democratic primary by less than 5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.4
Will Phil Weiser win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by 5–10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.01
Will Graham Platner be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.23
Will Tom Horne be the Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.36
Will Marlene Galán-Woods be the AZ-01 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.32
Will Elizabeth Lee be the AZ-05 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Katherine Haley be the Arizona State Treasurer Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Teresa Ruiz be the Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Will Chris James be the AZ-05 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.9
Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by less than 5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+92.5%+$240.2
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+35.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+160.6%+$49.3
FK ML Viciebsk vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.99
Will SK Iberia 1999 win on 2026-07-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+166.8%+$37.85
Will FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.22
Will KÍ win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$14
KÍ vs. FC Atert Bissen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
KÍ vs. FC Atert Bissen: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.88
Will Larne FC win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.3
Will FK Vardar Skopje vs. Kuopion PS end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
FK Vardar Skopje vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. FC Drita: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.49
FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. FC Drita: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+150.5%+$58.62
Will Internazionale win Group E at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+77.8%+$109.8
Will Borussia Dortmund win Group F at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+98.7%+$89.4
All 17 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-77.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-69.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FK Liepāja vs. FK Dečić Tuzi: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.39
Nõmme Kalju FC vs. Linfield FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+77.4%+$234.84
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+49.6%+$49.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick63cpaid+60.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$136
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$53.5
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3)backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$65.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Who will finish higher: Leclerc or Norris?backed Norris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$32.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FOKUS Win Emea Challengers Stagebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.