Will Austria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53a061ea1c68d1e7c1a0a4722b0b2e9d877aa54a0b2a0d4290a014612c31cbd8

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $54,788
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $52,140

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,788 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes	13c	5,165$679 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$679.07	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed Yes	12c	3,924$467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$466.72	293	33.8%99 W · 194 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9941…0b8dbacked Yes	11c	2,636$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.25	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c2…198cbacked Yes	34c	2,000$673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$673	56	7.1%4 W · 52 L	-6.1wins	-0.11per pick	18cpaid	-74.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	17c	1,758$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.59	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	67c	1,676$1,117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$559.21	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x410c…7d2fbacked Yes	34c	1,509$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes	29c	1,457$429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$429.43	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	15c	1,338$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.99	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	10c	1,027$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.59	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed Yes	13c	1,000$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.7	133	30.1%40 W · 93 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	66c	1,000$660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39a5…87f2backed No	71c	977.24$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286.85	88	42%37 W · 51 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked No	70c	852$596 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.6	406	49.8%202 W · 204 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No	76c	803.51$610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193.63	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No	80c	723.82$579 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.1	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5193…cfe5backed Yes	15c	658.85$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.37	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8603…fb04backed Yes	32c	582.59$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.11	57	57.9%33 W · 24 L	+4.9wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x958a…df0ebacked Yes	31c	525.32$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4ad…5403backed Yes	33c	525.13$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.66	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f07…0170backed No	71c	499.99$355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed Yes	14c	484.48$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.26	256	38.7%99 W · 157 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79f5…79c7backed Yes	31c	479.3$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.21	97	49.5%48 W · 49 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed No	68c	458.75$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.8	285	47.7%136 W · 149 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Yes	14c	455.92$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.11	920	38.5%354 W · 566 L	-21.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed No	67c	454.55$305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	129	45%58 W · 71 L	+7.5wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	4c	423$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.83	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed Yes	24c	412.31$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.95	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes	9c	397.83$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.01	167	41.9%70 W · 97 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No	71c	384$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.74	228	34.6%79 W · 149 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	10c	376.42$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.94	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No	69c	353.5$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.59	165	64.2%106 W · 59 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7206…d649backed Yes	30c	333.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes	21c	333.11$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.6	252	44.8%113 W · 139 L	+11.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x476c…ce52backed Yes	21c	333$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.77	254	43.7%111 W · 143 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No	70c	325.67$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.7	218	37.2%81 W · 137 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f7f…cc9bbacked Yes	15c	312.38$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.92	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes	12c	296.75$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.94	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x05e2…c5c6backed Yes	15c	273.06$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+2.2wins	+0.10per pick	61cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked No	68c	257.84$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.51	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes	12c	256.66$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.98	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc76a…a5c6backed Yes	30c	253.4$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.02	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed Yes	32c	228.25$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.04	116	37.1%43 W · 73 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eda…d453backed Yes	35c	200$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfce…80c7backed Yes	31c	199.99$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	-3.4wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed No	67c	199.99$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	+13.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes	13c	199.98$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.3	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed No	70c	197.3$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.55	181	39.8%72 W · 109 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No	66c	184.52$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.44	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdd4…0a07backed Yes	9c	182.73$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.17	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xffef…dabfbacked No	68c	178$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.96	117	52.1%61 W · 56 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf70c…4e63backed Yes	13c	170.96$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.02	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5c…2ee3backed Yes	37c	163.43$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	48	22.9%11 W · 37 L	-4.3wins	-0.09per pick	32cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fdf…47c6backed Yes	12c	162.6$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	70	41.4%29 W · 41 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x826a…b27cbacked Yes	12c	160.21$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	121	47.1%57 W · 64 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x624b…56f8backed Yes	14c	156.94$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.25	51	25.5%13 W · 38 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x491b…8227backed Yes	32c	156.25$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb90f…ea7abacked Yes	33c	153.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	190	40%76 W · 114 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes	12c	150$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.45	171	38%65 W · 106 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5247…deafbacked Yes	13c	150$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.1	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+2.1wins	+0.11per pick	34cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0414…be21backed Yes	14c	140$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.16	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	31cpaid	-57.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Yes	20c	131.84$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.84	215	17.2%37 W · 178 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No	80c	126.29$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.26	112	56.3%63 W · 49 L	+9.5wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc99c…62aebacked Yes	16c	125.79$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	279	40.5%113 W · 166 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes	32c	125$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	363	49.3%179 W · 184 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1536…7f40backed No	62c	118$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.84	75	53.3%40 W · 35 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked Yes	29c	112.7$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.35	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf715…bbf0backed Yes	28c	112.26$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.87	63	49.2%31 W · 32 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf83e…4663backed Yes	14c	112.26$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.72	100	41%41 W · 59 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7da0…28c0backed Yes	31c	110$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.1	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43e8…e758backed Yes	29c	104.48$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-4.1wins	-0.17per pick	46cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9163…0cabbacked No	75c	100$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	238	55.5%132 W · 106 L	+10.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5838…6a3abacked No	65c	100$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	40	45%18 W · 22 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1074…c2aebacked Yes	31c	100$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe663…7d09backed Yes	32c	100$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67cf…2371backed Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.9	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Yes	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	237	41.8%99 W · 138 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd11c…ff7dbacked Yes	13c	92$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	10	40%4 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No	68c	87.68$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.85	154	45.5%70 W · 84 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa616…e98ebacked Yes	13c	86.33$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4045…3307backed Yes	29c	81.14$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.53	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29b7…4108backed No	71c	81.14$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.53	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes	30c	80$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	52	38.5%20 W · 32 L	-4.8wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e64…46d1backed Yes	32c	78.28$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4af5…0530backed Yes	32c	72.84$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.31	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-59.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a1…307dbacked Yes	29c	72.21$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.94	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	37cpaid	-74%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No	70c	69.86$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.85	512	50.4%258 W · 254 L	+31.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6195…388abacked No	68c	65$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.8	177	54.8%97 W · 80 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc52a…88babacked Yes	30c	62.67$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.8	79	38%30 W · 49 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed No	67c	58.65$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.35	156	55.8%87 W · 69 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2870…0264backed Yes	35c	57.14$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b6a…0816backed Yes	36c	55.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-3.5wins	-0.15per pick	37cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf6bc…42c1backed No	68c	54$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.28	81	55.6%45 W · 36 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a96…b382backed No	65c	53$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.55	142	57.7%82 W · 60 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed No	69c	51.94$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.09	148	39.2%58 W · 90 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x923d…d1cabacked Yes	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked No	70c	47.99$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.4	206	52.9%109 W · 97 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4881…53bcbacked Yes	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30ee…a587backed Yes	31c	36.94$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.61	82	40.2%33 W · 49 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Austria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event