TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5e7b…8767

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
170
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 61 out of 100; worst Commodities at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT11058.2%64 W · 46 L+13.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 110 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,193Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+51%+$608.34
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$716.8
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,888Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+252.8%+$4,774.18
Will Lionel Messi win the Silver Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$47.52
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.73
Will Spain score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.93
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,209Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$1,964.72
Will Harry Kane win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.14
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$741Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$741.41
Will Kylian Mbappe score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$395
Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+900%+$132.52
Will the third-place match be FRA vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$365.17
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.25
Will the third-place match be FRA vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$50
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+96.7%+$483.33
Will the final be ESP vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.1
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$87.37
Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$108.69
Will France be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,086Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,085.54
Will the final be FRA vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.38
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+400%+$159.99
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.88
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$240
Showing 25 of 110 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$90.97
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.33
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.15
Hyperlend FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$107.5
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$737Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$737.38
Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$954Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+89.1%+$850.37
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$466Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$465.93
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+270.4%+$1,460
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+81.8%+$450
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$197.12
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$570
Plasma >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$775Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+203.8%+$1,578.75
Plasma >$2B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$70
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-51.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.03
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,293Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$1,548.89
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$23.2
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$565Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$373.86
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.61
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.99
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by less than 3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.32
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 6% and 9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.53
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.2
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.89
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$726Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$374
Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.29
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$723Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$722.8
All 14 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-68.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$55.5
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$37.27
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.82
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$593Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$592.99
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,092Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,092.17
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,151.87
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.41
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
All 10 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-62.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tommy Fleetwood finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.46
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,750Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$670.38
Will Bryson DeChambeau win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$530.73
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.48
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Europe win the 2025 Ryder Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$8,450Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+64.7%+$5,468.12
Will USA win the 2025 Ryder Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,200
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$288
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.