Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03dba6b5c5bf9fc59323fb8cb9e95949fa18fd6da60cbcaa0273e5ce81c2abc9

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $280,083
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $272,656

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $280,083 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 289 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	6c	33,416$2,099 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,099.31	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab1c…aaddbacked Yes	45c	8,985$4,084 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,084.43	56	28.6%16 W · 40 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	40c	8,277$3,296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,980.99	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	24c	7,718$1,861 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,857.48	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ad…e49ebacked Yes	71c	6,439$4,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,600	43	39.5%17 W · 26 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82a0…33a1backed Yes	6c	6,247$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.51	127	9.4%12 W · 115 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes	65c	5,770$3,767 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,766.97	311	52.7%164 W · 147 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked No	8c	5,550$444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,106	47	38.3%18 W · 29 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ba…f96ebacked Yes	73c	5,132$3,730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,729.61	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0239…9ba7backed Yes	29c	4,991$1,455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,454.88	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.25per pick	40cpaid	-70.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9301…3b67backed Yes	22c	4,765$1,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,056.41	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-2.6wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-44%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa453…b665backed No	44c	4,681$2,055 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,625.62	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0404…8353backed Yes	51c	4,454$2,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,260.07	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	47c	4,414$2,085 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,085.39	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc97b…8a22backed No	58c	3,674$2,113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,561.21	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	-4.1wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c5e…8819backed No	63c	3,507$2,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,306.88	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6325…cfaabacked No	63c	3,345$2,110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,235.54	95	55.8%53 W · 42 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No	20c	3,243$653 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,589.47	460	47.2%217 W · 243 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No	39c	3,240$1,261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,978.54	648	50.6%328 W · 320 L	-13.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No	27c	3,215$879 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,336.79	656	51.7%339 W · 317 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes	8c	2,803$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.95	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed No	29c	2,524$734 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,790.12	54	40.7%22 W · 32 L	-7.6wins	-0.14per pick	55cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	69c	2,473$1,717 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$755.81	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked No	29c	2,242$655 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,587.23	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	73c	2,134$1,561 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$572.89	219	58%127 W · 92 L	+13.4wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf70f…26dcbacked Yes	32c	2,129$685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$685	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	23cpaid	+351.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed No	20c	2,122$422 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,700.3	116	32.8%38 W · 78 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Yes	24c	2,082$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	253	36.8%93 W · 160 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	72c	2,042$1,479 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$562.45	175	58.9%103 W · 72 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked No	35c	2,040$717 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,322.77	312	32.4%101 W · 211 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed No	35c	2,005$695 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,310.2	198	25.3%50 W · 148 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	59c	1,959$1,164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$795.13	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cf1…3c6bbacked No	69c	1,648$1,143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$504.85	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No	44c	1,584$703 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$880.73	154	55.2%85 W · 69 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb88…bf74backed Yes	67c	1,560$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3de2…d073backed Yes	8c	1,549$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.91	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39bf…e918backed Yes	67c	1,542$1,035 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,035.06	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.67per pick	67cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a3…9b79backed Yes	71c	1,518$1,072 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,071.97	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f5…882dbacked Yes	35c	1,518$538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$537.56	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.5wins	-0.23per pick	41cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x70ca…2443backed Yes	70c	1,496$1,052 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,051.93	350	41.1%144 W · 206 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x69b9…1284backed No	70c	1,444$1,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$434.73	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.23per pick	62cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No	26c	1,431$373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,057.77	237	50.6%120 W · 117 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	34c	1,359$463 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$896.16	282	56.7%160 W · 122 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No	78c	1,287$1,005 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.01	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e7d…ca41backed No	68c	1,200$818 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$382.2	73	39.7%29 W · 44 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa81e…03dcbacked Yes	56c	1,197$676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$676.11	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x000d…99dfbacked Yes	20c	1,104$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.99	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x47e1…95c0backed No	56c	1,097$612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$484.94	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.31per pick	51cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	12c	1,090$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.3	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No	45c	1,071$483 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$587.64	140	55.7%78 W · 62 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30ee…a587backed No	72c	1,066$768 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297.67	82	40.2%33 W · 49 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3701…1b5ebacked Yes	29c	1,050$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.14	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	33cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0de0…0884backed Yes	72c	1,001$717 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$717.04	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2362…2ec5backed Yes	7c	1,000$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	44	2.3%1 W · 43 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-96.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked No	53c	983.08$524 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$459.42	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	61c	950.48$583 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$367.63	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	36c	924.59$331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$593.35	285	54.4%155 W · 130 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a0…e63cbacked Yes	26c	849.45$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.44	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed No	52c	810.25$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$389.92	139	57.6%80 W · 59 L	+18.4wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No	10c	793$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$716.35	263	30%79 W · 184 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39a8…7d57backed Yes	23c	698.98$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No	77c	677.32$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.75	101	64.4%65 W · 36 L	+7.1wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5605…a9efbacked No	78c	675$528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.66	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	67cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	20c	664.73$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.63	293	7.5%22 W · 271 L	-13.2wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	22c	663.87$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.17	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b2a…4911backed Yes	31c	653.96$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b12…c2d5backed No	74c	653.87$485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.94	335	38.8%130 W · 205 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d0f…68e1backed Yes	6c	621.08$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.52	20	35%7 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No	56c	605$339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.2	107	40.2%43 W · 64 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86c1…cacebacked Yes	71c	600$427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427.2	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.38per pick	71cpaid	-51%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf545…305bbacked No	35c	600$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$390	142	42.3%60 W · 82 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked No	29c	588.21$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$417.63	252	44.8%113 W · 139 L	+11.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed No	9c	574.71$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$524.71	356	14.3%51 W · 305 L	-14.3wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9337…a410backed No	31c	557.55$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$385.95	118	11.9%14 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc69d…e06abacked Yes	74c	553.82$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.28per pick	61cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfdd…e70ebacked Yes	71c	546$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.21	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	9c	539.05$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.28	167	4.2%7 W · 160 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No	74c	538.56$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.32	302	41.4%125 W · 177 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44bf…ea02backed Yes	25c	536.18$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c20…f60cbacked Yes	32c	531.37$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26cb…3e56backed Yes	6c	524.86$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.88	36	19.4%7 W · 29 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-49.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1abc…45e7backed No	54c	521.67$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242.02	357	34.5%123 W · 234 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	6c	518.01$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.4	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74c7…e53bbacked Yes	31c	515.79$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked No	35c	500$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325.01	173	40.5%70 W · 103 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa154…321cbacked Yes	6c	500$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No	79c	493.46$387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106	130	60.8%79 W · 51 L	+6.0wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76d2…99a6backed Yes	19c	481.78$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.94	72	26.4%19 W · 53 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e89…5ec5backed Yes	11c	475.8$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	169	35.5%60 W · 109 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbb0…bd65backed No	27c	452.38$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330.46	43	58.1%25 W · 18 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5136…0e4fbacked No	22c	450.49$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$349.85	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+27.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a19…2328backed Yes	25c	449.99$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.25	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	+204.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24e8…4546backed Yes	48c	448.46$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.07	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-4.8wins	-0.19per pick	51cpaid	-50%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf83e…4663backed No	75c	447.55$334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.07	100	41%41 W · 59 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc02…f89cbacked Yes	77c	446.68$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.48	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-5.1wins	-0.14per pick	44cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x027d…8979backed Yes	11c	438.28$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.08	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed No	67c	431.78$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.39	222	43.7%97 W · 125 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1f85…7b02backed No	65c	420.47$274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.71	339	37.5%127 W · 212 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed No	65c	404.01$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.81	320	44.1%141 W · 179 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Yes	25c	402.06$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	479	35.1%168 W · 311 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event