TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0c99…87cf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
375
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Tweets at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT17340.5%70 W · 103 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-4.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 173 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,236Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+668.9%+$8,264.41
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+1,532.2%+$3,520.22
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.64
Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$652Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$651.5
Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.44
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+219.1%+$618
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,006Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+116.1%+$1,168.7
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$177
Will 5+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,487Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,487.11
Will Gavi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$20.16
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$325.01
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$75
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$20.24
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.5
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.5
Will a player representing England be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$633Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$633.08
Will Rayan Cherki score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.68
Will 6+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,844Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,843.64
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,182.97
Will 7+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,549Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,549
Will 8+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.06
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,671Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,670.88
Will the semifinals be FRA vs ESP and ENG vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$744Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+106.1%+$789.08
Showing 25 of 173 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST8236.6%30 W · 52 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$218.26
Will Germany win the third most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$28.04
Will Great Britain record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+25.8%+$14.25
Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+729.6%+$704.81
Will Sweden win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25.8
Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$379.75
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$660.41
Will Hungary record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+25.5%+$124.22
Will Italy win the third most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,181Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+81.4%+$961.75
Will Italy win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$89.33
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+49.9%+$199.62
Will Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$39.91
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$299.91
Winter Games 2026: Lindsey Vonn to medal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$803Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+86.9%+$697.5
Winter Games 2026: Will USA or Norway earn more medals? backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$178.23
Will Brazil record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+886.2%+$118.25
Will Spain record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+159.8%+$83.99
Winter Games 2026: Norway (-6.5) vs. USA (+6.5) gold medals?backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,192Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+150.4%+$3,296.42
Will Spain record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+35.9%+$41.37
Will Kazakhstan record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$268.7
Will Estonia record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$29.32
Will Finland record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20.53
Will Brazil record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+809.1%+$355.99
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,656Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+81.2%+$1,344.5
Will Oceane Michelon (FRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Women's 12.5km Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+37.9%+$19.9
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT3026.7%8 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-43.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.76
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.03
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)backed AFC Bournemouth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$65.99
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.94
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+150%+$594.25
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$295
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.54
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$97
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Arsenal wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.73
Manchester United wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Will Spurs win on 2024-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+92.3%+$96
Will Jude Bellingham win the Ballon d’Or?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$44.9
Will Rodri win the Ballon d’Or?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT+198.9%+$790.88
Will Dani Carvajal win the Ballon d’Or?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$58.09
Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,039.94
Will Lamine Yamal win the Ballon d’Or?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$11.67
Will Lionel Messi win the Ballon d’Or?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$42.93
Will Chelsea win on 2024-10-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$63
Will Spurs win on 2024-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+49.3%+$33
Will Manchester City beat Fulham?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT+25%+$40
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-18.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.68
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+149.2%+$234.37
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$87.77
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$3,085Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,085.23
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,253Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$1,330.31
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.91
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$909Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$909.35
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,723Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,722.96
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.59
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.24
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.7
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.99
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$102
Will Monaco advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+29.4%+$99.24
Will Newcastle United advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+33.5%+$56.9
Will Atlético Madrid advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.08
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$284.5
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+244.8%+$35.5
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+66.7%+$20
Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Will Shakhtar Donetsk beat Young Boys?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST+30.7%+$9.4
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT140%0 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.28
Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$346.8
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will Alejandro Tabilo win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.14
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.91
Will Belinda Bencic win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.02
Will Raphael Collignon win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.65
Will Martin Landaluce win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.22
Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.51
Will Moise Kouame win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.02
Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will another player win the US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$83.37
Will Carlos Alcaraz (ESP) win Gold in Men's Tennis?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$65
All 14 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+56.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.68
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$47.73
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.34
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.7
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.93
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.99
Will Albania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.81
Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$38.08
Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$96
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+1,082.2%+$2,114.99
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-33.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,522Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+44%+$670.4
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$129.99
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$745Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$745.1
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$605Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+65.3%+$394.98
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Will Israel strike Iran on Sunday Oct 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$43
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$879Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$879.14
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2024, EST60%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+64.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-51.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Le Havre AC (-2.5)backed Le Havre AC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.99
Spread: Le Havre AC (-1.5)backed Le Havre AC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,706Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$2,705.6
Will a Democrat win Michigan US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+40.8%+$145
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 16, 2024, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump post 11-15 times this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$912Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$911.81
Will Trump post 50 or more times this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$124.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zelensky say "nuclear" during his UN address?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT+37.6%+$13.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich Win the Treble?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$42.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dogecoin reach $1 before December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$93
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.77
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.