Champions League · resolved market
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5801a082aa9cedd35178cce5ba54ed2336193e90a5889f6de3af16103735ab46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sport Lisboa e Benficaof Real Madrid CF, Sport Lisboa e Benfica
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $154,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $160,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x916f…53babacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 62c | 53,651$33,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,497.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Real Madrid CF | 34c | 12,152$4,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,175.88 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 68c | 11,840$8,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,730.65 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Real Madrid CF | 34c | 9,522$3,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,237.42 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Real Madrid CF | 30c | 7,500$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Real Madrid CF | 38c | 6,797$2,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,552.29 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Real Madrid CF | 25c | 6,369$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.85 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Real Madrid CF | 30c | 5,335$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.83 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Real Madrid CF | 37c | 5,147$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.83 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 69c | 5,113$3,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.13 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Real Madrid CF | 39c | 4,179$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.75 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 75c | 4,001$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.18 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Real Madrid CF | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.99 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.99 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 63c | 2,942$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.75 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Real Madrid CF | 39c | 2,844$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.28 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Real Madrid CF | 34c | 2,380$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.4 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2881…2091backed Real Madrid CF | 34c | 2,077$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Real Madrid CF | 37c | 1,952$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.29 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 67c | 1,927$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.86 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Real Madrid CF | 26c | 1,854$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.12 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 75c | 1,720$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.08 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 67c | 1,682$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.5 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Real Madrid CF | 33c | 1,661$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.97 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Real Madrid CF | 38c | 1,653$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.78 | 160 | 36.9%59 W · 101 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Real Madrid CF | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.3wins | +0.29per pick | 58cpaid | +52%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…820fbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 71c | 1,400$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 68c | 1,281$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.96 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…03a8backed Real Madrid CF | 44c | 1,225$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Real Madrid CF | 32c | 1,098$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.38 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa65…1021backed Real Madrid CF | 34c | 1,029$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Real Madrid CF | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Real Madrid CF | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4913…d01bbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 68c | 960.09$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.16 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 68c | 831.33$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.83 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Real Madrid CF | 34c | 679.44$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.85 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 70c | 650$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Real Madrid CF | 34c | 549$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.14 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Real Madrid CF | 31c | 503.23$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Real Madrid CF | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Real Madrid CF | 32c | 499.73$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.91 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Real Madrid CF | 39c | 491.86$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.83 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Real Madrid CF | 41c | 487.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Real Madrid CF | 26c | 468.4$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.21 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…6d59backed Real Madrid CF | 26c | 384.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Real Madrid CF | 34c | 356.33$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Real Madrid CF | 27c | 349.3$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.28 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Real Madrid CF | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Real Madrid CF | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Real Madrid CF | 30c | 327.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 57c | 322.81$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.81 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked Real Madrid CF | 26c | 306.55$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.45 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Real Madrid CF | 31c | 300.74$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.23 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Real Madrid CF | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Real Madrid CF | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Real Madrid CF | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cf…3e8cbacked Real Madrid CF | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Real Madrid CF | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…2c2bbacked Real Madrid CF | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +74%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 65c | 275.49$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.42 | 197 | 55.3%109 W · 88 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 65c | 271.03$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.86 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 66c | 270$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 72c | 262.08$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.06 | 245 | 45.3%111 W · 134 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…8f48backed Real Madrid CF | 34c | 250$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 67c | 249.99$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 67c | 249.99$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 66c | 249.39$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.79 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 61c | 247.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8958…e945backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 62c | 240$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 67c | 239.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 67c | 239.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…f968backed Real Madrid CF | 33c | 227.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 67c | 225.32$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.73 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f63…4fe9backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 64c | 211.82$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.19 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Real Madrid CF | 28c | 203.01$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +60%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Real Madrid CF | 40c | 191.57$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.63 | 98 | 41.8%41 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf404…0271backed Real Madrid CF | 34c | 191.18$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +220.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20c…bf55backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 68c | 190.31$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 67c | 184.36$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.47 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 66c | 180.13$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.24 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 66c | 180$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…b090backed Real Madrid CF | 29c | 180$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Real Madrid CF | 39c | 180$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 66c | 179.94$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.92 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Real Madrid CF | 38c | 179.26$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.22 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 64c | 174$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.32 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…ec88backed Real Madrid CF | 41c | 172.46$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Real Madrid CF | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…692dbacked Real Madrid CF | 35c | 165.66$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff5…50eabacked Real Madrid CF | 34c | 155.53$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.88 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Real Madrid CF | 44c | 155.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.42 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Real Madrid CF | 33c | 155$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…8266backed Real Madrid CF | 29c | 154.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…d976backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Real Madrid CF | 30c | 148.36$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 75c | 148.15$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.04 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbc…32ebbacked Real Madrid CF | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)this page
- Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.