TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee28…8266

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
401
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Tennis, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 60 out of 100; worst UFC at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT16436%59 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 164 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.28
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$355.03
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$196.46
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+213.8%+$307.56
Will Alabama win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.18
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.11
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.97
Will Virginia win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.05
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.12
Will Kansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.27
Will VCU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.61
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.8
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$91.88
Will Saint Louis win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.7
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.83
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$54.53
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+80.9%+$77.83
Will BYU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.52
Will North Carolina win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.12
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$66.13
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.34
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Ramsbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$24.39
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will NC State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.14
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.05
Showing 25 of 164 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT10443.3%45 W · 59 L+11.5wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+12%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 104 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$37.33
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+1,883.3%+$5,909.3
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.4
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.82
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.35
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.01
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.6
Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.62
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.56
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.95
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.94
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.77
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$563Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$562.85
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.42
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.97
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.61
Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Darderi (+1.5)backed Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$53.9
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$35.55
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.44
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.68
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreevabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26.52
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$19.36
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.35
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$19.8
Showing 25 of 104 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT5536.4%20 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.75
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.35
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.28
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.47
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.87
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$64.65
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.26
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.07
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.67
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.23
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.15
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+302.4%+$136.34
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+242.9%+$33.91
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+145.2%+$59.19
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$44.62
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+236.1%+$141.65
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.88
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.97
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.33
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+188.3%+$109.92
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+161%+$145.54
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+132.8%+$64.47
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$126.72
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.38
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.28
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+65%+$19.32
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.76
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.37
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$63.17
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$149.7
Capitals vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$19.2
Ducks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$83.7
Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knightsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$25.25
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-82.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$595
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$818Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$817.77
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.67
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.89
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.81
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)backed Türkiye · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.5
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$121.28
All 11 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick35cpaid-72.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perrybacked Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Melquizael Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$142.08
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Reinier de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$43.75
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$65.65
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Michael Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50.4
UFC 326: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Brunno Ferreira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$35.2
UFC 326: Cody Garbrandt vs. Xiao Long (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Xiao Long · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25
UFC 326: Cody Brundage vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Cody Brundage · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20.85
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yadong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.63
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$19.25
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.75
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$79
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+124.2%+$138.5
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$44.95
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$28.35
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25.42
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick32cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid-19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$40.6
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$25.67
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.75
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.94
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Metsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.72
All 5 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-50.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$447.51
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$92
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$38.5
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+149.4%+$732.11
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$64.36
All 5 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,060.43
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.02
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$106.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$173.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil settle at $80–$90 on April 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$66.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$37.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.