TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Andrey Rublev

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jannik Sinnerof Jannik Sinner, Andrey Rublev
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$730,887
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$650,896

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $730,887 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44a1…bd21backed Andrey Rublev1c105,198$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.523731.6%75 W · 162 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Andrey Rublev5c50,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5008429.8%25 W · 59 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Andrey Rublev4c45,209$1,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,898.857939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Andrey Rublev3c33,834$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.8765647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Andrey Rublev3c32,797$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.9962140.7%253 W · 368 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Andrey Rublev1c29,392$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.81,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Andrey Rublev4c28,486$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.861,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Andrey Rublev5c26,988$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.44,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3359…81c2backed Andrey Rublev5c18,453$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.1490%0 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5123…2f31backed Andrey Rublev3c15,100$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.2818315.8%29 W · 154 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a0…c18cbacked Andrey Rublev0c14,714$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7112033.3%40 W · 80 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Andrey Rublev5c10,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5258721.8%19 W · 68 L-0.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a37…6c95backed Andrey Rublev0c10,321$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265322.6%12 W · 41 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Andrey Rublev0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde87…11a2backed Andrey Rublev1c6,404$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.026835.3%24 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Andrey Rublev5c5,310$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.4919626%51 W · 145 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76cc…fbbcbacked Andrey Rublev5c5,267$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.3513427.6%37 W · 97 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f1…f937backed Andrey Rublev4c5,262$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006630.3%20 W · 46 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-2.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf56b…ac88backed Andrey Rublev2c5,019$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2811438.6%44 W · 70 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Andrey Rublev6c5,009$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27628828.5%82 W · 206 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Andrey Rublev6c5,004$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.219134.1%31 W · 60 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafe6…8192backed Andrey Rublev5c5,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024840.7%101 W · 147 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9527…f108backed Andrey Rublev0c4,802$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.452739.3%207 W · 320 L+37.6wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-7.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c3a…eb16backed Andrey Rublev6c4,483$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2697320.5%15 W · 58 L0.0wins0.00per pick21cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8165…59d0backed Andrey Rublev3c4,386$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.034949%24 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Andrey Rublev3c3,979$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.5514933.6%50 W · 99 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Andrey Rublev2c3,978$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.031,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Andrey Rublev1c3,663$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8475312.2%92 W · 661 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Andrey Rublev5c3,576$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.791,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf31…6575backed Andrey Rublev3c3,574$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006631.8%21 W · 45 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-35.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Andrey Rublev3c3,495$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.0440748.9%199 W · 208 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Andrey Rublev5c3,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15068935%241 W · 448 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2433…99aebacked Andrey Rublev4c2,549$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005420.4%11 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Andrey Rublev6c2,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b2c…2151backed Andrey Rublev5c2,400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12038911.6%45 W · 344 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Andrey Rublev3c2,335$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3554634.4%188 W · 358 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4538…7d5cbacked Andrey Rublev5c2,275$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.7317738.4%68 W · 109 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x039c…b202backed Andrey Rublev5c2,241$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.05922.2%2 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick10cpaid+80.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cb5…a35dbacked Andrey Rublev5c2,228$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1055853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa363…46c8backed Andrey Rublev5c2,084$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0522821.1%48 W · 180 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Andrey Rublev3c2,000$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4459348.9%290 W · 303 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Andrey Rublev5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdaa…fec8backed Andrey Rublev1c2,000$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Andrey Rublev5c2,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9085634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked Andrey Rublev1c1,685$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6345343.9%199 W · 254 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed Andrey Rublev1c1,646$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.973349.6%32 W · 302 L-16.7wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-48.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Andrey Rublev2c1,592$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.481,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6919…cc07backed Andrey Rublev5c1,542$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.15724.6%14 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-25.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Andrey Rublev6c1,500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9025244.4%112 W · 140 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Andrey Rublev2c1,300$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.573,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Andrey Rublev4c1,287$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.52,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa263…6cf0backed Andrey Rublev5c1,100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5517538.3%67 W · 108 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ce0…2b8abacked Andrey Rublev5c1,088$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.822560%15 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Andrey Rublev5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0133650.9%171 W · 165 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91ad…a5cabacked Andrey Rublev5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011919.3%23 W · 96 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Andrey Rublev5c999.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Andrey Rublev2c984.27$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.274,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Andrey Rublev3c977.13$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9327836.7%102 W · 176 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee28…8266backed Andrey Rublev5c888.88$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4410443.3%45 W · 59 L+11.5wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+12%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Andrey Rublev3c782.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.652,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Andrey Rublev3c744.25$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.817746.9%83 W · 94 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc203…ea5abacked Andrey Rublev3c622.2$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Andrey Rublev7c571.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Andrey Rublev3c509.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1855243.3%239 W · 313 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe44c…32a5backed Andrey Rublev6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302228.6%19 W · 203 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick8cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Andrey Rublev2c485$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.736435.2%128 W · 236 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Andrey Rublev4c409.67$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8532031.3%100 W · 220 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b12…42e2backed Andrey Rublev5c398$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.930%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd141…5e5fbacked Andrey Rublev5c377.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.87333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-45.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9833…7844backed Andrey Rublev3c357.14$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102917.2%5 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Andrey Rublev5c347.8$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3913051.5%67 W · 63 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c6a…cbfbbacked Andrey Rublev5c333.2$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.668447.6%40 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96d4…fe34backed Andrey Rublev5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155655.4%31 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Andrey Rublev7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208043.8%35 W · 45 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x38d6…969fbacked Andrey Rublev4c275.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.988644.2%38 W · 48 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Andrey Rublev5c255.4$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7750340%201 W · 302 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd030…2133backed Andrey Rublev5c220$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115719.3%11 W · 46 L-9.2wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-50%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xf629…9e4cbacked Andrey Rublev5c209.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2040…70f4backed Andrey Rublev5c206$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.31822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick27cpaid+102.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78a0…3a2fbacked Andrey Rublev5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109335.5%33 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacf2…d272backed Andrey Rublev5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010335%36 W · 67 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd93…eceebacked Andrey Rublev5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-58.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Andrey Rublev6c170$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.222755.1%125 W · 102 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.