TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7c6a…cbfb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
282
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: MLB, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT8447.6%40 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 84 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.23
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.22
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.93
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.03
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolinabacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.07
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.31
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.66
Zagreb: Thiago Monteiro vs Andres Andradebacked Andres Andrade · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+159.2%+$30.71
Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Basilashvili (+1.5)backed Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreevabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$173.38
Paris: Shuai Zhang vs Himeno Sakatsumebacked Himeno Sakatsume · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.18
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.09
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Dino Prizmicbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+163.3%+$63.65
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruudbacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.45
Paris: Sara Bejlek vs Alina Charaevabacked Alina Charaeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$13.84
Bengaluru 2: Ronit Karki vs Manish Sureshkumarbacked Ronit Karki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.08
Oeiras 4: Billy Harris vs Petr Brunclikbacked Billy Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.29
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karolina Pliskova vs Elena Rybakinabacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.12
Paris: Talia Gibson vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichbacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.03
Bengaluru 2: Alex Hernandez vs Yuta Kawahashibacked Alex Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.47
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva Jovicbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+110.3%+$17.44
Parma: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Whitney Osuigwebacked Whitney Osuigwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.09
Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Pellegrino (+1.5)backed Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.59
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Frances Tiafoe vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+99.3%+$17.62
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Brandon Nakashima vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.65
Showing 25 of 84 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT6950.7%35 W · 34 L+7.1wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+109.4%+$60.45
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+70%+$12.79
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.58
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.57
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.37
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$6.26
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.35
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.95
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$9.83
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17.63
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationalsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.23
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$19.43
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$16.13
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+245%+$29.4
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$42.26
San Francisco Giants vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.51
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.98
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.76
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.34
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)backed AFC Bournemouth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.76
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+197.8%+$100.58
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.51
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.75
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.99
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+153.6%+$33.25
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.32
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.86
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.8
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+201.9%+$470.29
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.22
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$6.63
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.88
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.94
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+34%+$9.9
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$5.7
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons backed Cavs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+242.7%+$101.91
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$17.69
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves backed Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.73
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.29
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$53.07
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+153.4%+$47.36
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$38.62
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.3
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$132.6
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.25
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+173.1%+$46.85
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$45.22
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.56
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$331.74
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.56
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.73
All 18 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.22
Real Oviedo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$11.49
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$15.89
Spread: Girona FC (-2.5)backed Girona FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.46
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.08
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.18
Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)backed RC Celta de Vigo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.38
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$596.77
Real Oviedo vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.97
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.23
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.1
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.53
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
All 15 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+58%+$13.78
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+141.3%+$34.04
Will Barcelona SC win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$31.71
Will CA Platense win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.14
Caracas FC vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+34%+$9.63
CA Platense vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.26
CD Tolima vs. CD Coquimbo Unido: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.68
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+276.4%+$62.51
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Minnesota Wild advance to the Conference Finals of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.87
Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.72
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+116.9%+$70.72
All 9 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Arnold Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+87.4%+$30.25
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Juan Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$35.4
UFC Fight Night: Khaos Williams vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Nikolay Veretennikov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.22
UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Ivan Erslan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$20.86
UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Jacqueline Cavalcanti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.93
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Daniel Barez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
UFC Fight Night: Max Griffin vs. Victor Valenzuela (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Max Griffin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
All 7 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-53.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+61.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-39.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-55.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$6.74
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$9.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Beijing Ducks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.55
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Real Madridbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$128.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$9.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.