TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$146,722
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$163,684

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,722 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes44c34,613$15,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,220.741145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No54c8,887$4,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,801.151526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-49%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No53c8,462$4,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,485.013641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Yes45c7,393$3,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,066.072860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5eb…93bfbacked Yes77c6,405$4,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked No54c6,000$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,239.942240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed No55c5,773$3,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1751127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-41.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Yes46c4,744$2,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,561.87475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+59.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked No54c4,703$2,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,539.851030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No55c4,487$2,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,467.885947.5%28 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes46c4,348$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.833046.7%14 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Yes45c3,500$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,924.952466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+29.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed Yes45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6502860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.947963.3%50 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No25c2,811$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.5576941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed No55c2,678$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,472.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No55c2,661$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.4144952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked No4c2,568$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.126030%18 W · 42 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.66944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick35cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No56c2,113$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.484261.9%26 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1204369.8%30 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No25c1,763$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.6227644.9%124 W · 152 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33d3…0f8fbacked Yes46c1,522$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed No55c1,456$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8012356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No49c1,320$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.753,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed No55c1,314$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.71952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4436…d11abacked No54c1,225$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No55c1,113$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61696947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes46c1,111$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.646136.1%22 W · 39 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc70d…a6f9backed Yes46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.96560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+35.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe68b…b796backed Yes46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.962100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+110.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6b1…f8d3backed No55c1,011$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.05450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f01…0d90backed No55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.33per pick46cpaid-79.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No56c967.4$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.6356849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafb2…0942backed Yes47c938.3$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes47c915$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.955856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No52c892.96$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.422,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes46c862.12$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.126154.1%33 W · 28 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes46c840.4$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.9114654.1%79 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No54c784.99$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.9731849.4%157 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bef…485bbacked No55c712.49$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.871861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed No54c694.98$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.29650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No14c685.88$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.747328.8%21 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes46c652.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.1710757%61 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd8c…f75abacked Yes39c641.03$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.031154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Yes39c641.03$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.032948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca43…9d5cbacked No55c564.51$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.481346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4db9…14f5backed No3c555$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.65944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+61.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No56c548.08$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.755947.5%28 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014744.9%66 W · 81 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x74a3…3b73backed Yes43c525.58$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.58742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed No23c519.94$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.352934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2802944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked No56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2802060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27588048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2751,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53fa…83f9backed Yes42c499.99$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2901050%5 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+291.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No53c499.97$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.989345.2%42 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x263f…f8c7backed Yes46c489.13$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked No11c455.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508117.3%14 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes45c443.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.1937926.1%99 W · 280 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed No23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Yes46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.781338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.781850%9 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes78c417$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.68850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No54c400$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21466150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef3a…dc6bbacked Yes46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1d2…2be9backed Yes46c391.3$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.31030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes47c361.7$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.72740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes56c356.67$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.615240.8%62 W · 90 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7708…42cbbacked No18c355.92$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.27616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No54c343.81$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.733836.8%14 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked No55c332.33$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.78922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-68%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f67…a1d7backed Yes46c326.09$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.09988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.37per pick52cpaid+69.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xea3d…2e9dbacked Yes47c319.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.151553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked Yes43c302.33$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.331040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc5f…2b66backed No58c297.56$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No56c286$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.161,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd29…77aebacked Yes43c273.92$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.133250%16 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e07…80d1backed No58c267.24$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes41c258.2$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.6278344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd096…2f6fbacked Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.411338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No54c253.61$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.941,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No54c239.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.5919546.2%90 W · 105 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No56c233.1$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9914443.8%63 W · 81 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.27757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick34cpaid+48.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes45c223.79$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.794269%29 W · 13 L+6.2wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+28.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked No54c222.22$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Yes45c221.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.091154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Yes46c220$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.8580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+83%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes43c219.39$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.131136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.398853.4%47 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.396844.1%30 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0832…9182backed Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.39862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac7e…4768backed Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.39944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick31cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.397354.8%40 W · 33 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd841…64cabacked Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.39666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+57.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9006…385abacked Yes46c215.22$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.221435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd49…03b8backed Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.77862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick40cpaid+29.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.771435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-34.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.