TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,071
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,235

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,071 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes34c12,476$4,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,241.28728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-43.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No67c8,413$5,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,790.153,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c5b…cc75backed No72c4,098$2,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.427100%7 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No68c2,592$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.9276941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Yes29c2,414$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5804369.8%30 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No66c1,914$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.7427644.9%124 W · 152 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No71c1,082$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.5644952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes28c1,082$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.0614042.1%59 W · 81 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes28c1,071$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006363.5%40 W · 23 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No71c638.36$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.1291950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes8c629.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506119.7%12 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Yes34c579.41$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes27c550$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.55534.5%19 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74a3…3b73backed Yes32c510.76$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.44742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Yes28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes29c448.28$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13011833.9%40 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes28c396.74$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.095947.5%28 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1d2…2be9backed Yes29c365.03$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.861030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Yes14c353.87$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.576030%18 W · 42 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1633…1e55backed Yes29c340$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick27cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes32c338.92$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.941442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f01…0d90backed Yes27c326.98$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.28812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.33per pick46cpaid-79.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes28c292.89$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0116242.6%69 W · 93 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83de…1786backed Yes21c278.05$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57825%2 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes29c258.62$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-46.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Yes9c231.43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-53.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Yes17c225.72$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.131020%2 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-63.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No68c210$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.820048%96 W · 104 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No71c202.98$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8631849.4%157 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6040%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No70c183.33$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554261.9%26 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes29c182.76$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5311536.5%42 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Yes20c174.91$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.892934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508349.4%41 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.29per pick44cpaid-82.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked No61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.932650%13 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No64c149.58$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7715240.8%62 W · 90 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No70c139.6$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.353836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d0b…0eb7backed No72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.891266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c66…5ab3backed Yes14c134.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-46.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1092…28d7backed Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+25%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes28c124.76$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9366150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes29c120.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357135.2%25 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No71c120$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.815949.1%78 W · 81 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Yes31c118.45$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.721145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes13c118.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.93145.2%14 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+33.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305147.1%24 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes25c102.74$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5216013.1%21 W · 139 L-18.8wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-47%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes29c102.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.75032%16 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3011657.8%67 W · 49 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283174.2%23 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes28c99.97$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.998331.3%26 W · 57 L-9.2wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-30%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1d76…6fd4backed Yes41c97.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402045%9 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes29c93.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272821.4%6 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Yes42c89.49$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.593644.4%16 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251560%9 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7350…9dc0backed Yes29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed No66c81.15$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.592070%14 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7708…42cbbacked Yes13c79.16$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.02616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Yes32c78.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.994546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No71c71.13$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.633836.8%14 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c22…0c2cbacked No72c69.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.441675%12 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+84.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed No69c69.05$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes29c68.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.991,11435.8%399 W · 715 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Yes28c65.24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.22156.7%1 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick23cpaid-72.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3435…a117backed Yes30c60.83$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.252524%6 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cfb…0dfabacked Yes28c60.71$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked No67c59.23$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.261163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No71c52$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0811562.6%72 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153432.4%11 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf269…fa23backed Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No71c50.5$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6425157%143 W · 108 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204753.2%25 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.513337.6%50 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218733.3%29 W · 58 L-12.0wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-42.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6d05…864cbacked Yes34c47.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked No72c45.86$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.842986.2%25 W · 4 L+6.1wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+32.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xdda6…cb91backed No72c45.68$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked No68c41.49$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.287656.6%43 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No68c37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.846956.5%39 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8df1…e624backed Yes28c36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.082842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No64c33.07$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.825048%24 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No58c33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8678344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8847…fc98backed No72c32.97$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.232552%13 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea65…d27dbacked No72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.45680.4%45 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1a0…e45ebacked No55c26.06$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.731163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked No63c25.95$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.611172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+30.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No72c25.33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.092944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked No71c25.16$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.174358.1%25 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc158…ef90backed No61c24.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked No67c22.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.364269%29 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No64c17.95$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4614654.1%79 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No71c16.9$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.911246.4%52 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.