TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4c5b…cc75

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 59 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT2466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,589Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,589
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$612Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$172.62
Will Sevilla FC vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,177Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$457.72
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,721Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,298.3
Will Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,954Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,954
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,152
Will Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$759Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$266.67
Will AD Ceuta FC vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+76.3%+$52.05
Valencia CF vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.68
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,936Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,936.1
Will Elche CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$508Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$178.47
Will Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,498Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$582.71
Will Levante UD vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$113.94
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$612Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+75.3%+$460.98
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$87.46
CA Osasuna vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.9
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$759Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$759.44
Will Girona FC vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$614Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$227.06
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$78.95
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-04-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$113.54
Will UD Las Palmas vs. Granada CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$414Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$153.68
Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$83.5
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+222.6%+$521.51
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-12-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+85.2%+$113.3
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$443.95
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,244Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,243.52
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 112.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$415.62
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$227.18
Spread: Raptors (-21.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.6
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$480.52
Spread: Magic (-14.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.65
Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$110.97
Spread: Suns (-10.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$230.44
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.66
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.08
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$112.94
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$24.62
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.93
Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Myles Turner: Points O/U 10.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Lakers vs. Pacersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$48.5
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Rockets vs. Cavaliersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$625Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+85.2%+$532.41
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+143.9%+$65.49
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT8100%8 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+93.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$125.67
Will Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,158Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$328.11
Will Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$157.15
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,424Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$474.77
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$652Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$206.04
Will Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$577Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$162.82
Will Burnley FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,082Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$610.82
Will Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+525%+$937.89
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT7100%7 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-66.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.27
Canucks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$174.62
AHL: Lehigh Valley Phantoms vs. Springfield Thunderbirdsbacked Lehigh Valley Phantoms · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.57
AHL: Bakersfield Condors vs. Henderson Silver Knightsbacked Bakersfield Condors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.01
All 4 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+82.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$237.19
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+56.3%+$109.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-36.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$229.84
Will Angers SCO vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.82
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.