MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0917c9eef0c4cdbd1301ee63df60c1d60b71d0e0e33e2d3388dc501c1d500e41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $203,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $206,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 49c | 151,789$74,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,286.51 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Under | 51c | 35,738$18,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,554.22 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 51c | 23,027$11,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,274.03 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 51c | 19,711$10,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,593.31 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 17,704$9,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,682.24 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 51c | 8,173$4,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,988.98 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 51c | 6,744$3,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,301.18 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 53c | 5,594$2,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,629.53 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…78bfbacked Over | 50c | 5,057$2,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,528.53 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Under | 51c | 4,579$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244.06 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 51c | 4,537$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222.97 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 3,885$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.42 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 3,160$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.23 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 3,016$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.93 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 2,977$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.2 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 49c | 2,569$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.49 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 51c | 2,256$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.63 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 51c | 2,199$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.15 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 51c | 2,157$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.77 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 52c | 2,144$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.69 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 51c | 2,138$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.86 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 51c | 1,988$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.28 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Under | 51c | 1,529$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.13 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5b…cc75backed Under | 51c | 1,427$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 51c | 1,190$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.41 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Under | 78c | 1,155$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.53 | 250 | 66.4%166 W · 84 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 51c | 1,119$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.89 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62de…39fbbacked Over | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -5.0wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -74%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Under | 53c | 1,018$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.29 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Under | 51c | 970.6$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.59 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 51c | 959.89$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.51 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 51c | 951.55$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.26 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Under | 51c | 820.22$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.91 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…4fd3backed Over | 48c | 814.6$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Under | 52c | 769$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.12 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Under | 51c | 679.42$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.92 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd05d…b831backed Over | 50c | 627.63$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 51c | 590.75$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.47 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 33c | 589.18$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.35 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e90…91eabacked Over | 49c | 573.73$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa769…7fbebacked Under | 53c | 568.41$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f92…a709backed Over | 49c | 555.41$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 552.14$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.84 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…6438backed Under | 53c | 491.42$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 51c | 475.78$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.13 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 51c | 454.09$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.5 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Under | 51c | 418.11$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.38 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 51c | 380.61$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.5 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 51c | 372.88$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.4 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 5c | 338.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 51c | 329.4$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.26 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed Under | 66c | 295.31$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.4 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Over | 47c | 288.85$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.76 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Under | 51c | 285.47$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.88 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 40c | 281.77$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.66 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa260…3844backed Under | 51c | 266.44$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.56 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed Under | 53c | 259.48$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.96 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 51c | 247.41$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.23 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 50c | 239.78$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.89 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…eab7backed Over | 48c | 238.54$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 49c | 215.62$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.66 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 49c | 210$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 52c | 195$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Under | 53c | 192.53$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.49 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 52c | 190.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.37 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab0…6364backed Under | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Under | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Under | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Over | 48c | 187.29$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.91 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 179.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.65 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fea1backed Over | 48c | 179.62$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 51c | 169.86$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.23 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed Over | 47c | 163.3$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.75 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -5.9wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Over | 40c | 144.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 51c | 136.85$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 73c | 120.4$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x270f…5e39backed Over | 49c | 117.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.45 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +116.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…64a7backed Over | 47c | 116.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6158…81bcbacked Under | 51c | 116.47$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a00…1b1abacked Under | 53c | 113.68$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…0a81backed Under | 51c | 111.01$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.3 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Over | 43c | 108.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 48c | 102.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -8.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x175e…8e46backed Over | 49c | 95.59$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b8…8924backed Under | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Under | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Under | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 51c | 94.23$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe67…dd7ebacked Under | 51c | 92.78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x959b…64edbacked Under | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Over | 49c | 82.84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeda…6595backed Under | 61c | 80.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 51c | 76.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 51c | 66.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 53c | 63.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5this page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati RedsSan Francisco Giants won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 3.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 4.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati RedsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.