TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa260…3844

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 63 out of 100; worst Tennis at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Santa Cruz: Valerio Aboian vs Thiago Seyboth Wildbacked Valerio Aboian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$185.63
Tallahassee: Cannon Kingsley vs Michael Mmohbacked Michael Mmoh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.25
Oeiras 3: Valentin Royer vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.25
Oeiras 3: Max Houkes vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.95
BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Zizou Bergsbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.53
Barcelona Open: Rafael Jodar vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.09
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Shuai Zhang vs Linda Noskovabacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.96
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.47
BMW Open, Qualification: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Alex Molcanbacked Roberto Carballes Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.28
Campinas: Gonzalo Bueno vs Lautaro Midonbacked Gonzalo Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$76.5
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaurbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$44.82
Mexico City: Alex Hernandez vs Juan Pablo Ficovichbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.24
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.71
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.34
Madrid: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Toby Samuelbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.46
Mexico City: Beibit Zhukayev vs Corentin Denollybacked Corentin Denolly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.35
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.76
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marin Cilicbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.84
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Corentin Moutet vs Casper Ruudbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.23
All 19 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.86
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$103.72
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$130.56
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.24
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$48.04
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$29.55
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.41
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$157.09
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.1
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.58
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.01
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$89.07
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.73
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.66
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$30.75
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$288.32
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.13
Blues vs. Utah: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$62.36
Avalanche vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$153
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Canucks vs. Kings: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Predators vs. Utah: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$30.56
Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$31.82
Penguins vs. Devils: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Panthers vs. Senatorsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Oilers vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$119.45
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+4.0wins+0.44per pick45cpaid+112.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid vs. KK Crvena Zvezdabacked KK Crvena Zvezda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Republicans have 54 seats in Senate after election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$124.92
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.