TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$217,990
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$215,876

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,990 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 271 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Over53c29,061$15,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,295.232653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under46c21,054$9,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,340.684,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Over55c20,000$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,999.9816346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c17,354$8,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,270.869,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Under48c13,014$6,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,767.3110256.9%58 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under47c9,830$4,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,209.6549244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3722…1f0abacked Under48c9,330$4,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,808.946150.8%31 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Over53c6,051$3,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,206.9420352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under45c5,827$2,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,204.952,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Over51c4,853$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,475.036654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over32c4,611$1,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,491.978,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under49c4,193$2,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,150.231,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Under46c3,599$1,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,943.198350.6%42 W · 41 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Over12c3,429$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.127937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x6df8…9c68backed Over51c2,445$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.7560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3f…8e2bbacked Over34c2,242$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.21540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over36c2,118$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.662,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under49c2,113$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.4959646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb097…0e61backed Over50c2,113$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.3312240.2%49 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over53c2,033$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.4569149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under45c1,995$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.595651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over9c1,947$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.1352230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under46c1,906$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.933,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under71c1,882$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.321,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under35c1,847$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.262,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under64c1,666$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.281,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c1,546$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.224,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6b0…fdbcbacked Under48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7801723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.24per pick48cpaid-51.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79543438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79565939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79586641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under52c1,445$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.453,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over53c1,431$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.711,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over57c1,356$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.6329849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under47c1,318$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.551,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over37c1,299$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.5821247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over53c1,284$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.26425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-60.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bef…3afdbacked Under48c1,233$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.65650%28 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under47c1,209$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.731,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over53c1,205$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.321,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over50c1,157$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.311,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed Over53c1,151$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.1910252.9%54 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Under48c1,100$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5725427.8%15 W · 39 L-9.5wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-44.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under50c1,100$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55045146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under50c1,050$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52544740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Under47c1,032$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.017248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under48c1,011$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.7965349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under51c1,006$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.7250754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb12e…8c6cbacked Over54c1,001$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.541216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-75.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55053951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under44c999.98$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.9979650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under47c999.97$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.9923742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over54c939.88$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.5459250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Under45c918.22$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.0224151.9%125 W · 116 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over54c874.31$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.1356447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Under45c859.56$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.7623251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b9…6312backed Under46c826.9$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.537236.1%26 W · 46 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Over51c706.6$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.3614441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Over50c686.63$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.1931354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over60c682.21$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.4890650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under40c657.55$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.972,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Over53c655.97$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.6614049.3%69 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Under77c647.82$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.769338.7%36 W · 57 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Under50c583.67$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.8422041.4%91 W · 129 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over53c579.19$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.9771449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over53c573.59$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.911,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under51c570.72$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.651,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over53c548.86$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.5541753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f64…1bcbbacked Over53c544.57$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.621060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Over21c516.82$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.6514046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over52c485.71$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.137647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked Under71c479.94$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.133633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over53c473.06$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.7246258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under45c456.29$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.961,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Over54c455.08$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.7410943.1%47 W · 62 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Under46c453.38$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.8720146.8%94 W · 107 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over62c449.55$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.7458953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over53c413.99$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.4123850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd7…eac9backed Under49c412$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.125440.7%22 W · 32 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under46c403.87$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.8539448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21268944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19428949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Under45c377.68$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.7228548.4%138 W · 147 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under47c373.45$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.931,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over44c370.22$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.1363746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under46c367.45$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.6121147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Over53c366.72$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.3614445.8%66 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Over56c347.71$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.7219741.6%82 W · 115 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c347.44$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.042,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ad…365abacked Over53c345.25$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.983148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x272d…9e36backed Under50c341.67$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.848652.3%45 W · 41 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Over53c323.61$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.5116249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Over53c323.61$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.5111453.5%61 W · 53 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under46c316.6$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.62,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under66c311.51$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.932,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over53c310.98$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.8291050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under47c310.66$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6691846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Under48c303.65$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.3429848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under43c298.28$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.463,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under48c296.39$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.9635546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.