NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf132a2c0598eec2b5b52e27becce3b4a3a3df19ae78f3f94eba737b00700333c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 10,542$5,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,270.92 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 39c | 4,376$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.36 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 4,004$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.61 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 53c | 1,858$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.46 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 52c | 1,667$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.13 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 1,630$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.64 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 1,579$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.92 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 1,411$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.28 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 48c | 1,379$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.14 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under | 53c | 1,280$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.53 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 53c | 917.86$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.98 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 913.13$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.7 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Over | 50c | 776$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 11c | 735.09$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.42 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 51c | 532.34$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.62 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 50c | 460.75$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.38 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Over | 50c | 395.71$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.71 | 201 | 46.8%94 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Under | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 12c | 383.26$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.56 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 270.75$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.96 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef25…c969backed Over | 51c | 213.3$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.78 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Under | 52c | 124.89$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.95 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 120.25$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.12 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Over | 10c | 112.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 51c | 102.36$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 53c | 100.78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…be0dbacked Over | 11c | 97.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 50c | 95.29$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.22 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…fb35backed Over | 50c | 88.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…4db6backed Under | 53c | 87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 48c | 81.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 48c | 81.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 48c | 81.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 48c | 81.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 48c | 81.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 48c | 81.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 48c | 81.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 48c | 81.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 48c | 80.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Under | 53c | 75.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 52c | 74.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 51c | 67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 48c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 279 | 45.9%128 W · 151 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 49c | 64.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…f166backed Over | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Over | 48c | 58.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ae…ba41backed Over | 48c | 58.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 47c | 53.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Over | 52c | 48.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Under | 52c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 39c | 40.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 50c | 38.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 47c | 36.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Over | 56c | 35.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…884abacked Over | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 258 | 50%129 W · 129 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed Under | 50c | 24.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Under | 52c | 24.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 238 | 40.8%97 W · 141 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Over | 59c | 23.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over | 47c | 22.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 240 | 44.6%107 W · 133 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 21.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 79c | 16.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 156 | 62.8%98 W · 58 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5this page
- 76ers vs. RocketsRockets won
- 76ers vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Rockets won
- Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 24.5No won
- VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.