TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0a61…4db6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2653.8%14 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.64
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.87
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.78
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Spread: Jets (-1.5)backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.66
Spread: Utah (-1.5)backed Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.19
Senators vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.57
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Hurricanes vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.98
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.04
Sabres vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.02
Flames vs. Starsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Bruins vs. Hurricanesbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Avalanche vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Flyers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Lakers (-15.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.08
Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.56
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$44.3
76ers vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$40.89
Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 211.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.09
Spread: Bulls (-6.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$40.28
Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 247.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.43
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$35.62
Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$33.1
Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$29.4
Spread: Warriors (-14.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$27.98
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.84
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$31.49
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.85
Spread: Bulls (-5.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.92
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+114.5%+$34.35
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.44
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.19
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.76
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$36.9
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.14
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.96
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)backed Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.5
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.99
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.08
Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$36.9
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.08
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$25.85
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.01
All 16 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.