NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x036869ee9161c2a57bc099a551205592f7377ed73fb5314a3119c68fa4d5fe60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Wild, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $931,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $938,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $931,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 683 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1925…4654backed Wild | 47c | 360,823$168,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168,135.47 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Stars | 54c | 240,888$129,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,916.48 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Stars | 58c | 156,734$90,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,038.16 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Wild | 46c | 83,103$38,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,227.56 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Stars | 53c | 76,497$40,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,816.41 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Wild | 67c | 19,945$13,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,314.4 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed3…2811backed Stars | 56c | 18,697$10,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,279.64 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda1c…197dbacked Wild | 0c | 17,980$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Stars | 54c | 17,219$9,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,842.43 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Stars | 54c | 17,216$9,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,842.35 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Wild | 46c | 16,783$7,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,720.22 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Stars | 54c | 12,234$6,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,626.94 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…c9b2backed Wild | 49c | 12,050$5,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,954.34 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad6c…35bbbacked Wild | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stars | 41c | 11,979$4,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,112.73 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Wild | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.98 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Wild | 59c | 8,360$4,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,965.91 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Stars | 54c | 8,306$4,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,807.01 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Stars | 52c | 8,106$4,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,856.33 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Stars | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Wild | 44c | 7,800$3,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,432 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8504…88dcbacked Wild | 66c | 7,778$5,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,132.55 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Stars | 53c | 7,637$4,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,562.9 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Wild | 46c | 7,599$3,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,495.48 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wild | 58c | 7,574$4,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,402.01 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed Wild | 46c | 6,521$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Stars | 55c | 6,334$3,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,835.81 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83c…e657backed Stars | 55c | 5,972$3,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,687.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Stars | 40c | 5,707$2,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,428.41 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Stars | 54c | 5,600$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,576 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Wild | 45c | 5,482$2,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491.87 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Wild | 46c | 5,372$2,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,471.12 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Stars | 40c | 5,243$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.6 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Stars | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Wild | 45c | 5,000$2,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.51 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Wild | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.96 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Wild | 47c | 4,981$2,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,332.27 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…bc70backed Wild | 9c | 4,567$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.74 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wild | 45c | 4,300$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.63 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Wild | 46c | 4,250$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.95 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Stars | 54c | 4,200$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Wild | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Wild | 46c | 4,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.99 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Wild | 46c | 3,895$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Wild | 46c | 3,875$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.69 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked Wild | 46c | 3,238$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.6 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Wild | 46c | 3,222$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.12 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Wild | 65c | 3,190$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.5 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Wild | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…a992backed Wild | 34c | 2,910$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Wild | 46c | 2,900$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.33 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Stars | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wild | 45c | 2,420$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.64 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Stars | 44c | 2,403$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.47 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf24a…35d3backed Wild | 46c | 2,345$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Stars | 50c | 2,315$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.91 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Stars | 57c | 2,309$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.82 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Wild | 46c | 2,300$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Wild | 45c | 2,250$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.48 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Wild | 46c | 2,157$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Wild | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Stars | 55c | 2,100$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.75 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…4867backed Wild | 66c | 2,084$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Stars | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3a…e36fbacked Wild | 46c | 2,009$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Wild | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Stars | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Wild | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Wild | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Stars | 53c | 1,988$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.48 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Stars | 55c | 1,978$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.1 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Wild | 46c | 1,957$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Stars | 48c | 1,911$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.03 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2b…6813backed Stars | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4c…28ddbacked Wild | 45c | 1,800$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Stars | 45c | 1,687$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.11 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Wild | 65c | 1,685$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.69 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Wild | 44c | 1,666$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.56 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wild | 46c | 1,637$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.17 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Stars | 49c | 1,624$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.75 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +18.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Wild | 45c | 1,622$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.35 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…743dbacked Wild | 46c | 1,618$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Wild | 45c | 1,564$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.8 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Stars | 54c | 1,555$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.28 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Wild | 46c | 1,525$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.42 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Wild | 45c | 1,522$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.1 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Stars | 78c | 1,521$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.66 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Wild | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.97 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7831…c197backed Wild | 46c | 1,491$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Wild | 45c | 1,435$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.83 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Stars | 54c | 1,416$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.47 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Wild | 45c | 1,415$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.86 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd75…c044backed Stars | 55c | 1,411$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.04 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ff…24e3backed Wild | 46c | 1,380$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Stars | 54c | 1,288$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.46 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…62dcbacked Stars | 36c | 1,270$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.5 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Stars | 54c | 1,269$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.17 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…b09dbacked Wild | 16c | 1,249$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Stars | 25c | 1,241$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.84 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Wild | 18c | 1,217$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.06 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Starsthis page
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Wild won
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 4.5Over won
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Over won
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Over won
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.